trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | +18.4% | +7.1% | 47% | 47% | +1.6% |
| ≤30d | 37 | +10.9% | +0.3% | 43% | 43% | -8.8% |
| ≤90d | 75 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 37% | 36% | -18.2% |
| all | 173 | -31.0% | -37.6% | 27% | 26% | -29.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -37.6% | 26% | -29.2% |
| 10% | -43.6% | 25% | -36.0% |
| 15% | -49.0% | 25% | -42.1% |
| 20% | -54.0% | 20% | -47.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 56¢ | 56¢ | $56 | $56 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 55¢ | 56¢ | $55 | $56 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 44¢ | 42¢ | $48 | $46 | −$3 (-6%) |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 23¢ | 24¢ | $21 | $21 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 19¢ | 18¢ | $19 | $18 | −$2 (-8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $89 | +$111 | +124% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $135 | +$65 | +48% |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Jun 14 | $49 | +$51 | +105% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $35 | −$34 | -98% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $80 | −$78 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $188 | +$112 | +60% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $55 | +$95 | +172% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $29 | +$71 | +250% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 12 | $105 | −$5 | -5% |
| Spread: Knicks (-16.5) | Jun 12 | $11 | −$10 | -97% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $83 | +$117 | +140% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 11 | $92 | −$16 | -17% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 11 | $103 | −$102 | -99% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 11 | $117 | −$116 | -99% |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) | Jun 11 | $106 | −$104 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $50 | +$100 | +197% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | Jun 02 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | May 31 | $97 | −$96 | -98% |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) | May 30 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 28 | $83 | −$82 | -98% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 27 | $502 | −$268 | -53% |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) | May 27 | $99 | +$101 | +101% |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | May 26 | $106 | −$104 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-6.5) | May 26 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Spread: Knicks (-9.5) | May 26 | $51 | +$116 | +226% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) | May 25 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) | May 25 | $20 | +$63 | +307% |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) | May 24 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 24 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | May 24 | $185 | +$108 | +58% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $51 | +$60 | +119% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $102 | +$111 | +109% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline | May 21 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5 | May 21 | $101 | +$95 | +93% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 19 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $32 | +$68 | +216% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? | May 18 | $53 | −$52 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5 | May 18 | $55 | −$54 | -99% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5 | May 18 | $52 | +$48 | +93% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | May 16 | $18 | +$1 | +5% |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) | May 16 | $53 | −$52 | -99% |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | May 16 | $161 | +$139 | +86% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H Moneyline | May 16 | $119 | +$81 | +67% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5 | May 16 | $31 | +$29 | +96% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5 | May 16 | $27 | −$4 | -16% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 16 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5) | May 14 | $158 | −$156 | -99% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 14 | $117 | +$215 | +183% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 12 | $28 | −$28 | -98% |