Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:05:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc330…e776
crypto · 35 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$190 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$201 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$589
Realized+$201
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses11 / 22
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions2
Markets (closed)33 / 35
History coverage1d
Avg bet$149
Trades / day64.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 2 History 33 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$201
7 days+$201
14 days+$201
30 days+$201
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 57¢ $500 $489 −$11 (-2%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $100 $100 −$0 (-0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $220 $0 −$220 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $146 $0 −$146 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 71¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $153 −$146 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$31 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $105 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $105 +$273 +259%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $105 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $105 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $106 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $196 +$678 +346%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $209 +$380 +182%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $104 −$100 -96%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $203 +$222 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $128 −$120 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $105 +$293 +278%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $233 −$220 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $106 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $213 −$200 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $106 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $211 +$784 +372%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $105 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $105 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $104 +$149 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $168 −$108 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $103 +$84 +82%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $254 −$250 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $403 −$400 -99%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $12 −$7 -54%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $101 +$38 +38%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $121 +$43 +36%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $77 −$69 -90%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $201 +$21 +11%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $203 −$200 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 58% +$802
other 24% −$239
sports 16% −$304
finance 1% −$69
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $105 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $48 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $33 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $378 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $105 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $304 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $106 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $874 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $142 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $54 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $589 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $209 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $104 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $11 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $59 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $48 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $11 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $398 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $105 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $11 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $11 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $212 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $106 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $90 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $17 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $106 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -7.6% -16.4% 33% 33% -5.5%
≤30d 33 -7.6% -16.4% 33% 33% -5.5%
≤90d 33 -7.6% -16.4% 33% 33% -5.5%
all 33 -7.6% -16.4% 33% 33% -5.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover64.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.4% 33% -5.5%
10% ← realistic here -24.4% 30% -14.5%
15% -31.7% 30% -22.8%
20% -38.4% 24% -30.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $588.77 · official $588.77 (match) · 69 history records