trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +14.1% | +3.2% | 100% | 100% | +3.3% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +10.8% | +0.2% | 100% | 38% | -0.3% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -8.7% | -17.4% | 71% | 42% | -11.6% |
| all | 24 | -8.7% | -17.4% | 71% | 42% | -11.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.4% | 42% | -11.6% |
| 10% | -25.3% | 25% | -20.1% |
| 15% | -32.5% | 21% | -27.8% |
| 20% | -39.1% | 12% | -34.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 92¢ | $228 | $232 | +$4 (+2%) |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 85¢ | 82¢ | $89 | $87 | −$3 (-3%) |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 16¢ | 18¢ | $70 | $76 | +$7 (+10%) |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 79¢ | 84¢ | $42 | $45 | +$3 (+6%) |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 46¢ | 42¢ | $44 | $39 | −$4 (-10%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | Jun 16 | $13 | +$2 | +15% |
| Tucuman: Nick Hardt vs Bruno Fernandez | Jun 10 | $10 | +$1 | +13% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | Jun 08 | $21 | +$1 | +5% |
| LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL Playoffs | Jun 05 | $8 | +$1 | +8% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $10 | +$2 | +24% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $5 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31? | Jun 01 | $11 | +$1 | +8% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 24? | May 25 | $14 | +$1 | +5% |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026? | May 16 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10? | May 10 | $9 | +$1 | +8% |
| Maple Leafs vs. Senators | May 07 | $12 | +$8 | +61% |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by Ap | Apr 15 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens | Apr 12 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Flyers vs. Jets | Apr 12 | $5 | +$6 | +117% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | Apr 11 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Panthers vs. Penguins | Apr 11 | $8 | +$4 | +49% |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 6, 2026? | Apr 11 | $12 | +$1 | +11% |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | Apr 04 | $16 | +$4 | +22% |
| Red Wings vs. Hurricanes | Mar 29 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Jets vs. Rangers | Mar 29 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Sabres vs. Lightning | Mar 29 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 27? | Mar 29 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Mar 29 | $17 | +$7 | +41% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | Mar 26 | $12 | +$11 | +93% |