Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:55:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc31c…f69f
crypto · 499 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$54 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$54 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$54
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses228 / 270
Open positions0
Markets (closed)498 / 499
History coverage152d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day3.9
Drawdown37%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 498 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days+$39
14 days+$39
30 days+$54
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$7 +685%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +351%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$5 +239%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% +$40
world 5% +$20
finance 4% −$5
politics 0% −$1
tech 0% $0
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 477 -1.1% -10.5% 44% 42% -3.3%
≤30d 486 -0.6% -10.0% 45% 42% -1.2%
≤90d 486 -0.6% -10.0% 45% 42% -1.2%
all 498 -0.4% -9.9% 46% 42% -1.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.9% 42% -1.9%
10% -18.5% 36% -11.2%
15% -26.4% 33% -19.8%
20% -33.6% 30% -27.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.01 (match) · 819 history records