Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:07:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc311…c154
sports · 845 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$946 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$917 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$235
Realized+$917
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses573 / 265
Est. fees paid−$225
Open positions7
Markets (closed)838 / 845
History coverage245d
Avg bet$35
Trades / day8.3
Drawdown53%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 7 History 838 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days+$4
14 days+$24
30 days−$368
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Vitality 88¢ 78¢ $100 $89 −$11 (-11%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Spirit 37¢ 33¢ $50 $45 −$5 (-11%)
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 31¢ 68¢ $19 $41 +$22 (+119%)
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? No 37¢ 26¢ $50 $36 −$14 (-28%)
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30? No 48¢ 95¢ $10 $20 +$10 (+97%)
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? No 16¢ 11¢ $5 $3 −$1 (-30%)
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? No 30¢ 11¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-64%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner FURIA 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Astralis 57¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner paiN 16¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17? Yes 69¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage MOUZ 68¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs M80 (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A paiN 43¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 72¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-28? No 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-05-26? Yes 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
CA Peñarol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5 Under 46¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5 Under 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 15¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 59¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5 Under 42¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 74¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-28? Yes 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5 Under 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $50 +$9 +19%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $50 +$16 +32%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $50 +$24 +48%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $50 +$10 +20%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $51 −$50 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $51 +$25 +50%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $101 −$100 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $50 +$22 +44%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $50 +$19 +38%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $51 +$59 +115%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $51 −$50 -99%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $51 +$52 +103%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $50 +$23 +46%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $50 +$13 +26%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $50 +$14 +27%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $50 +$1 +2%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $51 −$49 -97%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $51 −$50 -99%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $50 +$15 +31%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $50 +$14 +27%
Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 01 $20 +$4 +19%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 May 30 $10 +$3 +28%
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? May 29 $100 −$19 -19%
Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 4.5 May 29 $10 +$4 +36%
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-05-28? May 29 $10 +$3 +29%
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-28? May 29 $10 −$10 -99%
Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 3.5 May 29 $20 +$3 +13%
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-28? May 29 $10 −$10 -99%
CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 4.5 May 29 $10 +$4 +42%
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5 May 29 $10 +$3 +29%
Santos FC vs. CD Cuenca: O/U 3.5 May 27 $10 +$4 +43%
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-05-26? May 27 $10 −$10 -99%
LDU de Quito vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 3.5 May 26 $10 −$10 -98%
AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 4.5 May 25 $10 +$1 +12%
SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5 May 25 $10 +$2 +17%
Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5 May 25 $10 +$1 +15%
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $10 +$4 +44%
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $10 +$5 +48%
Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5 May 24 $10 +$1 +12%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5 May 24 $10 +$5 +51%
Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5 May 24 $10 +$2 +18%
Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5 May 24 $10 +$1 +8%
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5 May 24 $10 +$2 +17%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $10 +$2 +24%
US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5 May 24 $10 −$10 -99%
Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5 May 24 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? May 24 $10 +$3 +34%
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 May 24 $10 +$4 +36%
Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5 May 24 $10 +$5 +53%
Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5 May 24 $10 +$1 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 72% +$266
other 25% +$523
crypto 1% +$6
world 1% +$140
tech 0% −$18
culture 0% +$7
politics 0% $0
finance 0% −$11
weather 0% +$2
economics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 37¢ $51 20m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 88¢ $100 49m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 99¢ $60 49m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 83¢ $50 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $67 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 75¢ $50 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 67¢ $50 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 59¢ $51 5h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $76 6h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 66¢ $51 7h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 32¢ $51 7h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 72¢ $50 8h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 99¢ $3 14h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 99¢ $56 14h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 82¢ $50 15h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $50 22h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 72¢ $50 23h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 46¢ $51 25h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 64¢ $51 29h
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL B8 99¢ $3 2d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL B8 80¢ $100 2d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 39¢ $51 3d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 68¢ $50 3d
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 79¢ $50 4d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 79¢ $51 4d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 78¢ $50 4d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 77¢ $50 4d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner SELL Astralis 2¢ $2 4d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner BUY Astralis 64¢ $51 4d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner BUY Astralis 57¢ $51 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 +5.4% -4.7% 74% 68% -9.2%
≤30d 135 -1.1% -10.5% 71% 63% -15.8%
≤90d 564 +1.4% -8.3% 69% 61% -6.2%
all 838 +0.8% -8.8% 68% 57% -6.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.8% 57% -6.6%
10% -17.5% 44% -15.6%
15% -25.5% 28% -23.7%
20% -32.8% 16% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $235.11 · official $235.11 (match) · 2489 history records