Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:13:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc2ff…7a0c
crypto · 189 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$93 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$93 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$93
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses63 / 125
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)188 / 189
History coverage56d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day7.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 188 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 25¢ 26¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 07 $6 +$4 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET May 27 $12 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET May 27 $10 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET May 27 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET May 27 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET May 27 $7 −$4 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET May 27 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET May 27 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET May 27 $5 +$4 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET May 27 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET May 27 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET May 27 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET May 27 $1 +$10 +922%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET May 27 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET May 27 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET May 27 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET May 27 $2 +$1 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET May 27 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET May 27 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET May 27 $5 +$5 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET May 09 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET May 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET May 09 $16 −$10 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET May 09 $9 +$11 +120%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$88
sports 1% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-29.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -27.9% -34.7% 37% 26% -15.1%
≤30d 46 -16.0% -24.0% 35% 28% -27.7%
≤90d 188 -21.7% -29.2% 34% 30% -25.5%
all 188 -21.7% -29.2% 34% 30% -25.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -29.2% 30% -25.5%
10% -36.0% 28% -32.6%
15% -42.1% 25% -39.1%
20% -47.8% 22% -45.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.06 · official $1.18 (match) · 491 history records