trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 25% | 0% | -8.4% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 29% | 0% | -10.0% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 33% | 0% | -9.9% |
| all | 29 | -1.7% | -11.1% | 41% | 0% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.1% | 0% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -19.6% | 0% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -27.3% | 0% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -34.5% | 0% | -33.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $46 | +$1 | +3% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 18 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 17 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 26 | $30 | +$2 | +8% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 25 | $42 | −$2 | -5% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 25 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 25 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 24 | $50 | −$2 | -4% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 24 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | May 23 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 22 | $41 | −$2 | -5% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 21 | $44 | $0 | -0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | May 21 | $86 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 19 | $13 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Jul 24 | $0 | $0 | -50% |
| Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series? | Jul 24 | $14 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Anders Arborelius be the next pope? | May 10 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 17 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 15 | $16 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 National League Championshi | Apr 09 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Masters? | Apr 08 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Apr 08 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump meet with MrBeast in his first 100 days? | Apr 08 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 07 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 04 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference? | Apr 01 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.5% and 46.9% on March 28? | Mar 27 | $16 | $0 | +2% |