Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:10:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc2f6…2aac
crypto · 817 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$550 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$551 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$551
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses411 / 405
Open positions1
Markets (closed)816 / 817
History coverage17d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day154.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 816 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$321
7 days−$734
14 days−$493
30 days−$551
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 60¢ 88¢ $3 $5 +$1 (+46%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$9 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$10 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$15 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$550
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 529 -20.1% -27.8% 41% 34% -21.8%
≤30d 816 -4.3% -13.4% 50% 43% -16.1%
≤90d 816 -4.3% -13.4% 50% 43% -16.1%
all 816 -4.3% -13.4% 50% 43% -16.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover154.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.4% 43% -16.1%
10% ← realistic here -21.7% 33% -24.1%
15% -29.3% 23% -31.4%
20% -36.2% 17% -38.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.52 · official $4.52 (match) · 3500 history records