Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:51:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc2f4…901e
crypto · 5 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$12 -34%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses2 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day11.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 0 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$12
14 days−$12
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $1 $0 -12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$8 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$5 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$12
other 3% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 8¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 12¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-38.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -31.6% -38.1% 40% 20% -53.4%
≤30d 5 -31.6% -38.1% 40% 20% -53.4%
≤90d 5 -31.6% -38.1% 40% 20% -53.4%
all 5 -31.6% -38.1% 40% 20% -53.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -38.1% 20% -53.4%
10% -44.0% 0% -57.8%
15% -49.5% 0% -61.9%
20% -54.4% 0% -65.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 11 history records