Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T04:38:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C2 0xc2ec…1972 crypto 50 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (59 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$0 (+0%) realized +$0 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate44%22W / 28L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day59.4pace
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$5
other 2% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (59 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-19.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 -11.4% -19.9% 44% 44% -13.9%
≤30d 50 -11.4% -19.9% 44% 44% -13.9%
≤90d 50 -11.4% -19.9% 44% 44% -13.9%
all 50 -11.4% -19.9% 44% 44% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover59.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.9% 44% -13.9%
10% ← realistic here -27.5% 44% -22.2%
15% -34.5% 40% -29.7%
20% -41.0% 38% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late -15% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$2 · ×1.11 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses22 / 28
Open positions0
Markets (closed)50 / 50
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day59.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 50 Trades
no open positions (15 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +119%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -70%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -50%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -44%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +34%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Down 8¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 10¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $0 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 88 history records