Wallet analysis

2026-06-30T03:02:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5

score

C2 0xc2e6…e3c2 sports 5 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d

RISKYcopy with care ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample

✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable! high turnover

Total PnL +$234 (+27%) realized +$234 · open +$0

Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗

Gross ROI / mkt +41% what the leader earns

→−copy tax

Net edge / mkt +18% what you keep after slip

Net edge+18%after slip

Net WR100%break-even

Win rate100%5W / 0L

Drawdown0%max

Avg bet$174per market

Trades / day9.0pace

Fees−$4est.

Kalshi-fit80%portable

Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL

Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net

insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge

break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even

chance a trade nets +100%

net ROI/market (all)+27.6%

timeframe	markets	gross ROI	NET ROI	gross WR	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
≤7d	5	+41.0%	+27.6%	100%	100%	+19.8%
≤30d	5	+41.0%	+27.6%	100%	100%	+19.8%
≤90d	5	+41.0%	+27.6%	100%	100%	+19.8%
all	5	+41.0%	+27.6%	100%	100%	+19.8%

gross = as the leader traded. net = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip

turnover9.0 tr/day

realistic slip~9%

edge survives to15%

copier slippage	NET ROI	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here	+27.6%	100%	+19.8%
10%	+15.4%	40%	+8.3%
15%	+4.2%	40%	-2.1%
20%	-6.0%	40%	-11.7%

Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a trap: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill

Profit concentration

top 50% · top 2 75% thin sample

Edge freshness (90d)

90d ROI +32% too few recent

Fragile wins

0% wins margin < slip thin sample

Flat-copyable

equal-wt +41% · $-wt +32% works when copied flat

Big bets

big-bet WR —% no data

Persistence

early —% → late —% no data

Add-ons / DCA

1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries

Win / loss size

+$56 vs — no data

Profit factor

— no data

Copy size

≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage

Net worth$0

Realized+$234

Unrealized+$0

Win rate (resolved)100%

Wins / losses5 / 0

Est. fees paid−$4

Open positions0

Markets (closed)5 / 5

History coverage1d

Avg bet$174

Trades / day9.0

Drawdown0%

Kalshi-fit80%

Ledger

positions · history · trades

Positions 0 History 5 Trades

no open positions

Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first

Market	when	invested	PnL	ROI
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5	Jun 30	$314	+$69	+22%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	Jun 30	$21	+$18	+85%
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5	Jun 29	$314	+$52	+17%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Jun 29	$211	+$140	+67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10AM ET	Jun 29	$8	+$1	+14%

Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.

Latest trades by this wallet

Market	side	price	size	when
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5	SELL Over	100¢	$384	13m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	SELL Yes	84¢	$39	13m
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5	BUY Over	75¢	$209	1h
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5	BUY Over	75¢	$105	1h
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5	SELL Over	100¢	$366	4h
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5	BUY Over	79¢	$314	6h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	BUY Yes	41¢	$21	7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10AM ET	BUY Down	83¢	$8	12h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	BUY Yes	57¢	$211	15h

From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.

✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 11 history records