Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:23:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc2e0…5a1b
sports · 363 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$212 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$183 · open +$29
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$363
Realized+$183
Unrealized+$29
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses116 / 231
Est. fees paid−$127
Open positions16
Markets (closed)347 / 363
History coverage50d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day12.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 16 History 347 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$210
7 days−$96
14 days+$112
30 days+$209
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Frances Tiafoe 6¢ 28¢ $20 $90 +$70 (+348%)
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Carlos Maria Zarate 13¢ 36¢ $20 $56 +$36 (+181%)
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Filippo Romano 21¢ 40¢ $20 $39 +$19 (+93%)
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran Thiago Cigarran 14¢ 14¢ $28 $28 +$0 (+0%)
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $26 $27 +$2 (+7%)
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Tristan Schoolkate 29¢ 29¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+0%)
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Kamilla Rakhimova 20¢ 20¢ $21 $20 −$1 (-2%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $21 $20 −$1 (-3%)
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 35¢ 18¢ $35 $18 −$17 (-49%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 20¢ 4¢ $39 $9 −$30 (-77%)
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-18%)
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 6¢ 3¢ $14 $6 −$8 (-54%)
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 5¢ 1¢ $25 $6 −$19 (-75%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Keegan Smith 13¢ 0¢ $15 $1 −$14 (-96%)
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Akasha Urhobo 4¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-99%)
Lyon: Robin Bertrand vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Robin Bertrand 20¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Fiona Ferro vs Danka Kovinic Danka Kovinic 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Tucuman: Ryan Dickerson vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Ryan Dickerson 16¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikata Tom Gentzsch 27¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Marta Kostyuk 56¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Jiujiang: Alex Bolt vs Adam Walton Alex Bolt 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Centurion 2: Arda Azkara vs Guillaume Dalmasso Guillaume Dalmasso 34¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Juan Manuel La Serna Juan Manuel La Serna 83¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 31¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 12 $40 +$103 +259%
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 12 $10 +$16 +160%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $21 −$20 -97%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $41 −$40 -98%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $17 +$56 +322%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $22 +$79 +368%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 11 $15 −$15 -98%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $19 +$79 +414%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Clement Tabur Jun 10 $36 −$35 -98%
Tucuman: Nick Hardt vs Bruno Fernandez Jun 10 $25 −$25 -97%
Cattolica: Alexander Vasilev vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 10 $15 −$15 -98%
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 10 $30 −$30 -99%
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Juan Manuel La Serna Jun 10 $50 −$50 -100%
Tucuman: Nicolas Villalon vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Jun 10 $9 −$9 -97%
Tucuman: Julian Cundom vs Andrea Collarini Jun 10 $10 −$10 -97%
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu Jun 10 $22 +$105 +474%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 09 $9 −$9 -98%
Tucuman: Juan Estevez vs Matias Soto Jun 09 $19 −$19 -98%
Tucuman: Segundo Goity Zapico vs Federico Coria Jun 09 $6 −$6 -97%
Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2 Jun 09 $29 +$4 +15%
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by Augus Jun 09 $21 −$5 -25%
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 09 $15 −$15 -98%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 09 $15 −$1 -4%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Oliver Okonkwo Jun 09 $3 −$3 -97%
Ilkley: Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 09 $10 −$2 -22%
Lyon: Matteo Martineau vs Mickael Kaouk Jun 09 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $15 −$1 -7%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $26 −$2 -9%
Lyon: Luca Staeheli vs Felix Balshaw Jun 09 $14 −$14 -97%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Akira Santillan Jun 09 $14 −$14 -98%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $26 +$3 +11%
Tucuman: Ryan Dickerson vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Jun 09 $33 −$32 -98%
Bratislava: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Alexander Donski Jun 09 $36 −$35 -98%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $21 −$1 -5%
Lyon: Robin Bertrand vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 07 $20 −$20 -98%
Lyon: Calvin Hemery vs Alejandro Moro Canas Jun 07 $31 −$30 -98%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Heather Watson vs Beatriz Haddad Ma Jun 07 $51 +$58 +115%
Centurion 2: Philip Henning vs Alexander Donski Jun 07 $46 −$45 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 07 $26 −$25 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 07 $31 −$9 -28%
Libema Open, Qualification: James McCabe vs Alexander Maarten Jong Jun 07 $29 −$28 -98%
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Andre Ilagan Jun 07 $26 −$25 -98%
Libema Open, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Bernard Tomic Jun 07 $26 −$25 -98%
Libema Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 06 $36 −$35 -98%
Centurion 2: Khololwam Montsi vs Alexander Donski Jun 06 $6 +$144 +2330%
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Liam Draxl Jun 06 $20 −$20 -98%
Birmingham: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 06 $30 −$30 -98%
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Petr Bar Biryukov Jun 06 $21 −$20 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% +$217
politics 3% −$74
other 3% +$68
economics 0% +$1
world 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 5¢ $5 1m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 7¢ $15 2m
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet BUY Tristan Schoolkate 29¢ $26 6m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Carlos Maria Zarate 13¢ $21 8m
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 20¢ $22 10m
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 20m
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 24m
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 24m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 21¢ $20 35m
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Keegan Smith 13¢ $15 36m
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez SELL Johan Alexander Rodriguez 69¢ $143 40m
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo BUY Akasha Urhobo 4¢ $6 1h
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena SELL Raul Brancaccio 27¢ $27 1h
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Raul Brancaccio 10¢ $10 1h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 6¢ $10 1h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Benjamin Bonzi 2¢ $5 3h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Benjamin Bonzi 13¢ $15 4h
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Thiago Cigarran 14¢ $11 4h
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 19¢ $17 4h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Arthur Gea 13¢ $15 4h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard SELL Thijs Boogaard 78¢ $73 4h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Arthur Gea 15¢ $10 4h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic SELL Marin Cilic 96¢ $101 4h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Maxim Mrva 7¢ $4 5h
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Thiago Cigarran 14¢ $17 5h
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 18¢ $23 5h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 18¢ $17 5h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt BUY Nick Hardt 19¢ $15 17h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Marin Cilic 20¢ $22 17h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Arthur Gea 35¢ $15 44h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 +9.0% -1.4% 21% 21% -17.5%
≤30d 281 +0.4% -9.2% 33% 33% -6.7%
≤90d 347 -2.6% -11.9% 33% 33% -7.3%
all 347 -2.6% -11.9% 33% 33% -7.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.9% 33% -7.3%
10% -20.3% 31% -16.1%
15% -28.0% 28% -24.2%
20% -35.1% 27% -31.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $363.49 · official $363.52 (match) · 721 history records