Wallet analysis

2026-06-30T03:27:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
C2 0xc2dd…1983 crypto 516 markets active 13d ago coverage 14d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (78 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$6 (-1%) realized −$6 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate58%301W / 215L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day77.8pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days−$1
30 days−$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$19
other 2% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (78 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 516 -3.4% -12.6% 58% 46% -12.7%
≤90d 516 -3.4% -12.6% 58% 46% -12.7%
all 516 -3.4% -12.6% 58% 46% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover77.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.6% 46% -12.7%
10% ← realistic here -21.0% 8% -21.1%
15% -28.6% 1% -28.7%
20% -35.6% 0% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
20% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$0 · ×0.5 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.7 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses301 / 215
Open positions0
Markets (closed)516 / 516
History coverage14d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day77.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 516 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -8%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -21%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -12%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -23%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -21%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -21%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -9%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -12%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -31%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -43%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -24%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -20%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -16%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -21%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -21%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $1 13d
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $0 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 13d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $1 13d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 13d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $0 13d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $1 13d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 13d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $1 13d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 13d
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $0 13d
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $1 13d
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $0 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 13d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $0 13d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $1 13d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 13d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $0 14d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $1 14d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 14d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $1 14d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 14d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $1 14d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 14d
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $1 14d
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 14d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1079 history records