Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:27:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc2d3…271d
sports · 19 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$5 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$25
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses2 / 6
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions11
Markets (closed)8 / 19
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day29.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 11 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A Washed 49¢ 64¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+32%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 67¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+49%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 69¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+45%)
Rainbow Six Siege: Cloud9 vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage Cloud9 55¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+82%)
Counter-Strike: Invicta vs Sashi Academy (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A Sashi Academy 45¢ 86¢ $1 $3 +$1 (+91%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 4 Winner Gen.G 67¢ 66¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Eintracht Spandau 66¢ 64¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 26¢ 36¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+35%)
Counter-Strike: Invicta vs Sashi Academy - Map 2 Winner Invicta 21¢ 28¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+33%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Forsaken 24¢ 27¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Counter-Strike: Invicta vs Sashi Academy - Map 1 Winner Invicta 33¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 34¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 50¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A Jun 12 $2 +$1 +39%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 12 $1 $0 -25%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $1 $0 +32%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 $0 -10%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 $0 -10%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 $0 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Forsaken 24¢ $1 8m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 26¢ $1 26m
Counter-Strike: Invicta vs Sashi Academy - Map 2 Winner BUY Invicta 21¢ $1 35m
Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY Washed 49¢ $3 45m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 66¢ $2 54m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 67¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Invicta vs Sashi Academy - Map 1 Winner BUY Invicta 33¢ $1 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 69¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Invicta vs Sashi Academy (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group BUY Sashi Academy 45¢ $1 1h
Rainbow Six Siege: Cloud9 vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League BUY Cloud9 55¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A SELL STATE 100¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 86¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 45¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 50¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY STATE 71¢ $2 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 67¢ $2 2h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun SELL Connecticut Sun 15¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St SELL GenOne 64¢ $2 3h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY GenOne 47¢ $1 3h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Heretics 27¢ $1 3h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Heretics 30¢ $1 3h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Heretics 33¢ $1 3h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Heretics 34¢ $1 3h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 34¢ $1 3h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 71¢ $2 3h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 78¢ $2 3h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Connecticut Sun 19¢ $1 5h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 70¢ $1 5h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 71¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-29.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -22.4% -29.8% 25% 25% -25.1%
≤30d 8 -22.4% -29.8% 25% 25% -25.1%
≤90d 8 -22.4% -29.8% 25% 25% -25.1%
all 8 -22.4% -29.8% 25% 25% -25.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.8% 25% -25.1%
10% ← realistic here -36.5% 25% -32.3%
15% -42.6% 12% -38.8%
20% -48.3% 0% -44.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.06 · official $25.28 (match) · 29 history records