Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:26:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc2ce…bba8
crypto · 226 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$208 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$208 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$208
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses156 / 70
Open positions0
Markets (closed)226 / 226
History coverage14d
Avg bet$60
Trades / day43.2
Drawdown85%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 0 History 226 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days+$54
14 days+$208
30 days+$208
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 60¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 48¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 39¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 59¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 10¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 44¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 77¢ $463 $0 −$463 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 54¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 53¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 55¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 42¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 18¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 47¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 49¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 59¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 45¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 27¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3AM ET Up 27¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 16¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 35¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 50¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 76¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 65¢ $175 $0 −$175 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 66¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $34 −$33 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$8 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$14 +26%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$12 +138%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $128 +$37 +29%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $32 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $47 +$19 +42%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$4 -10%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $101 +$31 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $63 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $74 +$25 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $131 +$23 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $59 −$57 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $469 −$463 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$6 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$44 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$7 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$9 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$21 +172%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $148 −$16 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $72 −$6 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $712 +$88 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $75 +$24 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$10 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$10 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $292 +$18 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$6 +40%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +57%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $355 +$45 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% +$78
other 14% +$130
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $12 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $12 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $14 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $7 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 59m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $12 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $27 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $26 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $4 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $30 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $18 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $30 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $26 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $24 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $32 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $18 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $21 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $26 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $26 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $27 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 151 -2.2% -11.5% 70% 50% -9.0%
≤30d 226 -1.1% -10.5% 69% 50% -8.1%
≤90d 226 -1.1% -10.5% 69% 50% -8.1%
all 226 -1.1% -10.5% 69% 50% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 50% -8.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 43% -16.9%
15% -26.9% 26% -24.9%
20% -34.1% 14% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 771 history records