Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:37:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc2c8…5471
other · 71 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$27,883 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$30,950 · open +$1,955
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$103,903
Realized−$30,950
Unrealized+$1,955
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses40 / 21
Whale WR (big bets)69%
Open positions42
Markets (closed)61 / 71
Avg bet$3,996
Trades / day2565.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 42 History 61 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$30,950
7 days−$30,950
14 days−$30,950
30 days−$30,950
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? No 87¢ 88¢ $10,817 $10,986 +$169 (+2%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 87¢ 90¢ $8,749 $8,950 +$200 (+2%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 90¢ 92¢ $8,645 $8,740 +$96 (+1%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? No 87¢ 88¢ $8,665 $8,665 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 82¢ 84¢ $7,931 $8,124 +$192 (+2%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 97¢ 99¢ $7,932 $8,124 +$192 (+2%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 97¢ 99¢ $4,830 $4,935 +$105 (+2%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? No 84¢ 84¢ $4,477 $4,457 −$20 (-0%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 87¢ 88¢ $4,350 $4,425 +$75 (+2%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 84¢ 86¢ $4,200 $4,325 +$125 (+3%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay? No 96¢ 98¢ $4,213 $4,275 +$61 (+1%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 89¢ 90¢ $4,088 $4,111 +$23 (+1%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay? No 94¢ 95¢ $4,010 $4,052 +$43 (+1%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? No 93¢ 95¢ $2,049 $2,079 +$30 (+1%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? No 92¢ 94¢ $1,927 $1,958 +$31 (+2%)
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1,540 $1,796 +$257 (+17%)
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 93¢ 95¢ $1,588 $1,625 +$38 (+2%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $1,486 $1,494 +$8 (+1%)
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 92¢ 95¢ $1,302 $1,340 +$37 (+3%)
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 96¢ 98¢ $1,298 $1,327 +$29 (+2%)
Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Paraguay? No 94¢ 96¢ $1,260 $1,294 +$34 (+3%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 92¢ 95¢ $1,120 $1,152 +$32 (+3%)
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? No 90¢ 90¢ $1,029 $1,035 +$6 (+1%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Paraguay? No 97¢ 99¢ $782 $795 +$13 (+2%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 93¢ 96¢ $711 $731 +$19 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 5 - 4 FC Bayern München? Jun 12 $234 −$234 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? Jun 12 $7,800 −$7,800 -100%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC? Jun 12 $3,411 −$3,411 -100%
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $0 −$7 -41535%
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -118%
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $0 −$20 -326471%
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC? Jun 12 $853 −$853 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Jun 12 $0 +$100 +878552%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $1,981 +$466 +24%
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $5,712 −$5,612 -98%
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 1 Arsenal FC? Jun 12 $1,540 −$1,540 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullin Jun 12 $40 −$5 -14%
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $0 −$10 -75038%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $0 +$500 +372186%
Will France win Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $0 +$5 +53371%
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $16,400 −$16,400 -100%
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 0 Crystal Palace FC? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $12 −$15 -118%
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $0 +$3 +374775%
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 0 Real Madrid CF? Jun 12 $1,860 −$1,860 -100%
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 1 Chelsea FC? Jun 12 $86 −$86 -100%
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $909 −$762 -84%
Roland Garros WTA: Sara Bejlek vs Iga Swiatek Jun 12 $72 −$71 -99%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $21,300 −$21,300 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Emerson Jones vs Iga Swiatek Jun 12 $18 +$69 +374%
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18? Jun 12 $0 +$2 +22236%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $4,549 +$451 +10%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $4,455 +$557 +12%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $2,736 +$454 +17%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $1,198 +$96 +8%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 3 Czechia? Jun 12 $4,933 +$67 +1%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $5,246 +$742 +14%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $4,876 +$834 +17%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $4,865 +$136 +3%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $4,033 +$619 +15%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $3,065 +$118 +4%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 12 $2,970 +$321 +11%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 3 Czechia? Jun 12 $1,362 +$41 +3%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 3 Czechia? Jun 12 $4,875 +$125 +3%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $4,275 +$96 +2%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $4,700 +$300 +6%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 3 Czechia? Jun 12 $4,905 +$95 +2%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 South Africa? Jun 11 $8,379 +$1,222 +15%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 South Africa? Jun 11 $5,783 +$1,217 +21%
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 South Africa? Jun 11 $6,396 +$604 +9%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 11 $6,980 +$986 +14%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 South Africa? Jun 11 $5,506 +$1,494 +27%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 South Africa? Jun 11 $6,415 +$586 +9%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $5,512 +$1,488 +27%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 South Africa? Jun 11 $6,171 +$829 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$29,851
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 89¢ $564 0m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay? SELL No 96¢ $15 0m
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 89¢ $78 0m
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY No 82¢ $23 1m
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY No 82¢ $44 3m
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY No 82¢ $197 3m
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY No 82¢ $18 4m
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 89¢ $157 4m
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? SELL No 94¢ $5 6m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay? SELL No 98¢ $5 6m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? SELL No 90¢ $4 6m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay? SELL No 96¢ $5 6m
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL No 99¢ $187 7m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? SELL No 90¢ $2 7m
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? SELL No 94¢ $11 7m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay? SELL No 98¢ $12 7m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay? SELL No 96¢ $12 7m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 86¢ $8 8m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 93¢ $53 10m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 93¢ $24 10m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 86¢ $131 10m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 86¢ $17 12m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 86¢ $60 12m
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 89¢ $46 13m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 93¢ $248 13m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 86¢ $18 16m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 93¢ $60 16m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 86¢ $12 16m
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL No 92¢ $4 16m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 86¢ $7 16m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)+129.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 +153.3% +129.2% 66% 44% -21.9%
≤30d 61 +153.3% +129.2% 66% 44% -21.9%
≤90d 61 +153.3% +129.2% 66% 44% -21.9%
all 61 +153.3% +129.2% 66% 44% -21.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2565.9 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +129.2% 44% -21.9%
10% +107.3% 28% -29.4%
15% ← realistic here +87.2% 20% -36.2%
20% +68.9% 18% -42.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $103,902.87 · official $103,944.92 (match) · 3500 history records