trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -10.7% | -19.2% | 57% | 43% | -17.9% |
| ≤30d | 31 | -7.7% | -16.4% | 55% | 52% | -15.5% |
| ≤90d | 31 | -7.7% | -16.4% | 55% | 52% | -15.5% |
| all | 31 | -7.7% | -16.4% | 55% | 52% | -15.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.4% | 52% | -15.5% |
| 10% | -24.4% | 42% | -23.6% |
| 15% | -31.7% | 35% | -30.9% |
| 20% | -38.4% | 16% | -37.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 20¢ | 21¢ | $200 | $210 | +$10 (+5%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 14¢ | $100 | $82 | −$18 (-18%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 8¢ | $100 | $71 | −$29 (-29%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $50 | $53 | +$3 (+6%) |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 15¢ | 14¢ | $50 | $48 | −$2 (-3%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 6¢ | $30 | $20 | −$10 (-33%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| France to win the second half? | Jun 26 | $228 | +$150 | +66% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $214 | +$14 | +7% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $394 | −$390 | -99% |
| Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $51 | −$7 | -14% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $295 | +$55 | +18% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $200 | +$95 | +48% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $353 | −$217 | -62% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $101 | +$44 | +44% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $101 | +$26 | +26% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $202 | +$101 | +50% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $57 | −$56 | -98% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $51 | +$101 | +198% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $101 | +$38 | +38% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $544 | +$78 | +14% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $101 | +$46 | +46% |
| LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI | Jun 14 | $51 | +$92 | +180% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $113 | +$97 | +86% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $402 | +$97 | +24% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $504 | +$54 | +11% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $51 | −$33 | -65% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $201 | −$200 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $20 | +$22 | +109% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $71 | +$28 | +40% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |