Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:57:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc2b0…e756
crypto · 255 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,750 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,767 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$40
Realized−$1,767
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses106 / 146
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions3
Markets (closed)252 / 255
History coverage2d
Avg bet$40
Trades / day1564.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 252 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,810
7 days−$1,767
14 days−$1,767
30 days−$1,767
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Harriet Dart 38¢ 45¢ $31 $36 +$5 (+17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 38¢ 34¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-8%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Emma Raducanu 53¢ 79¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+49%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$8 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$10 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$8 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$14 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$7 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$13 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$8 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$17 +131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $67 +$29 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $22 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$4 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$14 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$9 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$7 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $66 +$8 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$10 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $33 +$9 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $33 +$37 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $56 −$13 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$27 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$30 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$6 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$1,841
sports 1% −$5
other 0% +$85
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $21 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $16 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 9m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 44¢ $18 12m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 33¢ $2 17m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 33¢ $4 17m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 33¢ $7 17m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu SELL Emma Raducanu 85¢ $25 19m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu SELL Emma Raducanu 85¢ $1 19m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu SELL Emma Raducanu 85¢ $4 19m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu SELL Emma Raducanu 85¢ $1 19m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 53¢ $20 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 37m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-21.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 252 -12.8% -21.1% 42% 40% -25.5%
≤30d 252 -12.8% -21.1% 42% 40% -25.5%
≤90d 252 -12.8% -21.1% 42% 40% -25.5%
all 252 -12.8% -21.1% 42% 40% -25.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1564.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.1% 40% -25.5%
10% ← realistic here -28.6% 37% -32.7%
15% -35.5% 33% -39.2%
20% -41.9% 26% -45.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $40.22 · official $40.09 (match) · 3500 history records