Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:45:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc2a2…23a0
sports · 1695 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$259 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$258 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$2
Realized−$258
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses797 / 896
Est. fees paid−$44
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1693 / 1695
History coverage69d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day30.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 2 History 1693 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days−$9
14 days+$10
30 days−$59
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 74¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$1 (+35%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 70¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet Corentin Moutet 61¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-17? Yes 60¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins 53¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D GenOne 62¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Marco Trungelliti Kyrian Jacquet 30¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx Atlanta Dream 44¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Petra Marcinko Jil Teichmann 28¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Ekaterina Alexandrova 82¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries Phoenix Mercury 26¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul Tommy Paul 41¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? Yes 30¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-23? Yes 30¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets New York Yankees 38¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies Arizona Diamondbacks 26¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Maya Joint vs Ann Li Maya Joint 28¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream Phoenix Mercury 37¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Internationaux de Strasbourg: McCartney Kessler vs Jaqueline Cristian McCartney Kessler 27¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16? Yes 33¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 33¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell Kimberly Birrell 62¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Clement Tabur Clement Tabur 33¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils Gael Monfils 51¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Petra Marcinko vs Vera Zvonareva Vera Zvonareva 39¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3 +$1 +50%
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $1 +$2 +140%
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $1 +$3 +216%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 +$1 +42%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $1 +$3 +238%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $2 $0 +26%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $6 $0 -2%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $1 +$2 +124%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $2 $0 +21%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $2 $0 +24%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $1 +$2 +216%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $2 $0 +29%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Varvara Lepchenko Jun 11 $1 +$1 +105%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Modena: Tamara Zidansek vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 11 $1 +$1 +109%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Seri Jun 11 $1 +$1 +67%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1 +$1 +44%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 11 $2 $0 +12%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Jun 11 $2 +$1 +38%
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Mayar Sherif Jun 11 $1 +$2 +152%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 11 $1 +$3 +276%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $6 $0 +1%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $1 +$3 +238%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $7 −$2 -35%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $2 $0 +22%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 11 $16 +$3 +17%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$249
other 4% −$8
world 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 74¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 70¢ $1 1h
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Laura Samson 50¢ $1 2h
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Nuria Brancaccio 32¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 54¢ $1 4h
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Lanlana Tararudee 52¢ $1 5h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 38¢ $1 6h
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 41¢ $1 6h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 63¢ $1 7h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 31¢ $1 7h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 69¢ $1 7h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 70¢ $1 8h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 56¢ $1 9h
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Dominika Salkova 53¢ $1 9h
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY GenOne 62¢ $1 9h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 81¢ $2 10h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 70¢ $1 10h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse BUY Barbora Krejcikova 79¢ $2 11h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire BUY PortlandFire 25¢ $1 18h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire BUY Las Vegas Aces 83¢ $5 18h
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings BUY Phoenix Mercury 31¢ $1 19h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 53¢ $1 20h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 28¢ $1 20h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 82¢ $2 20h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream BUY New York Liberty 44¢ $1 21h
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever BUY Chicago Sky 25¢ $1 21h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Texas Rangers 80¢ $2 23h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Colorado Rockies 44¢ $1 24h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher BUY Lucia Bronzetti 31¢ $1 25h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins BUY Miami Marlins 77¢ $2 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 134 -3.8% -12.9% 51% 50% -13.4%
≤30d 725 -7.4% -16.2% 45% 45% -14.8%
≤90d 1693 -6.8% -15.6% 47% 47% -16.9%
all 1693 -6.8% -15.6% 47% 47% -16.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.6% 47% -16.9%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 44% -24.9%
15% -31.1% 38% -32.1%
20% -37.8% 33% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.08 · official $2.08 (match) · 3500 history records