Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:23:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc297…8818
other · 54 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses30 / 20
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions4
Markets (closed)50 / 54
History coverage9d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day10.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit41%
Chart Positions 4 History 50 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes 19¢ 21¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 65¢ 64¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Ethiopia win on 2026-06-09? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Burkina Faso win on 2026-06-09? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +111%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +22%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bolivia vs. Algeria end in a draw? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $2 +$1 +49%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $2 $0 +10%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Hungary vs. Kazakhstan end in a draw? Jun 09 $1 +$1 +114%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 +$1 +139%
Will Burkina Faso win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Armenia vs. Moldova end in a draw? Jun 09 $1 +$1 +78%
Will Ethiopia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 $0 +28%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $2 $0 +23%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $2 $0 +8%
Will Croatia vs. Slovenia end in a draw? Jun 07 $1 $0 +20%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $1 +$1 +88%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $1 +$1 +70%
Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw? Jun 07 $1 $0 -27%
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $1 $0 +23%
Will Ethiopia win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $1 +$1 +60%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $1 $0 +34%
Will Vanuatu win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $1 $0 -9%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $1 $0 -47%
Will Puerto Rico win on 2026-06-05? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -97%
Will India win on 2026-06-05? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Peru win on 2026-06-05? Jun 06 $1 +$1 +137%
Will Canada vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw? Jun 06 $1 +$1 +57%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-05? Jun 06 $1 $0 +4%
Will Tajikistan vs. India end in a draw? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $1 +$1 +105%
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $1 $0 +38%
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $1 $0 +5%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $1 $0 +18%
Will Singapore vs. China PR end in a draw? Jun 05 $1 $0 +7%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Oman vs Hong Kong, China Jun 05 $1 −$1 -57%
Will Slovenia win on 2026-06-04? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-04? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Mexico vs. Serbia end in a draw? Jun 05 $2 −$1 -49%
Will Serbia win on 2026-06-04? Jun 05 $1 +$2 +158%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-04? Jun 05 $1 $0 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 57% +$1
sports 28% $0
crypto 15% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $1 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 98¢ $2 15h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 65¢ $1 20h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $1 31h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 82¢ $2 37h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $1 40h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $1 40h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 86¢ $1 45h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $1 45h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $1 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 82¢ $3 2d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? SELL Yes 86¢ $2 2d
Will Bolivia vs. Algeria end in a draw? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 3d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 77¢ $2 3d
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 3d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 3d
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 29¢ $1 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 54¢ $2 3d
Will Hungary vs. Kazakhstan end in a draw? SELL Yes 38¢ $2 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -2.0% -11.3% 62% 55% -10.9%
≤30d 50 -1.5% -10.9% 60% 50% -11.2%
≤90d 50 -1.5% -10.9% 60% 50% -11.2%
all 50 -1.5% -10.9% 60% 50% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.9% 50% -11.2%
10% -19.4% 38% -19.7%
15% -27.2% 30% -27.5%
20% -34.3% 26% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.05 · official $4.05 (match) · 105 history records