Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:49:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc294…e11c
crypto · 154 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$94 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$137 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$137
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses47 / 107
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)154 / 154
History coverage22d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day23.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 154 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$24
14 days−$38
30 days−$137
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$3 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$5 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$3 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 08 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 06 $7 +$5 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 06 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 06 $2 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 04 $1 +$2 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 03 $7 −$2 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 03 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 03 $7 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 03 $2 $0 +17%
Mensik vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 38.5 Jun 02 $5 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 02 $2 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 02 $3 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 02 $3 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 02 $1 +$2 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 02 $9 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 02 $6 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$137
sports 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $6 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $6 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $0 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $0 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-35.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 -60.0% -63.8% 14% 9% -34.9%
≤30d 154 -28.4% -35.2% 31% 25% -24.8%
≤90d 154 -28.4% -35.2% 31% 25% -24.8%
all 154 -28.4% -35.2% 31% 25% -24.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -35.2% 25% -24.8%
10% ← realistic here -41.4% 20% -32.0%
15% -47.1% 14% -38.6%
20% -52.3% 13% -44.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 596 history records