Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:24:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc291…5d74
sports · 119 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$75,213 +31%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$74,877 · open +$335
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$83,859
Realized+$74,877
Unrealized+$335
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses130 / 334
Whale WR (big bets)63%
Est. fees paid−$686
Open positions76
Markets (closed)464 / 119
Avg bet$2,011
Trades / day3426.0
Drawdown40%
Kalshi-fit61%
Chart Positions 76 History 464 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$74,877
7 days+$74,877
14 days+$74,877
30 days+$74,877
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 88¢ 90¢ $13,717 $13,895 +$178 (+1%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 88¢ 88¢ $9,028 $9,081 +$53 (+1%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 84¢ 86¢ $8,240 $8,392 +$152 (+2%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 94¢ 94¢ $6,541 $6,552 +$11 (+0%)
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 99¢ 99¢ $5,984 $6,005 +$21 (+0%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 86¢ 86¢ $4,496 $4,525 +$29 (+1%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 98¢ 98¢ $3,493 $3,495 +$2 (+0%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 90¢ 90¢ $3,067 $3,067 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 91¢ 92¢ $2,968 $2,974 +$5 (+0%)
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 94¢ 94¢ $2,782 $2,791 +$9 (+0%)
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 95¢ 95¢ $2,493 $2,499 +$6 (+0%)
Will Cambodia win on 2026-06-09? Yes 83¢ 100¢ $1,710 $2,070 +$359 (+21%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 96¢ 97¢ $1,984 $1,997 +$13 (+1%)
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? No 69¢ 100¢ $1,184 $1,727 +$543 (+46%)
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 4.5 Under 90¢ 100¢ $1,545 $1,712 +$166 (+11%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 99¢ 99¢ $1,338 $1,336 −$2 (-0%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 Under 54¢ 56¢ $819 $846 +$27 (+3%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 95¢ 96¢ $826 $832 +$6 (+1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 63¢ 64¢ $707 $713 +$6 (+1%)
Spread: Cambodia (-1.5) Cambodia 17¢ 100¢ $103 $599 +$496 (+483%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 Under 80¢ 80¢ $588 $593 +$5 (+1%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 98¢ 98¢ $535 $537 +$2 (+0%)
Exact Score: Cambodia 1 - 1 Hong Kong SAR? No 85¢ 100¢ $426 $501 +$75 (+18%)
Will Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR end in a draw? No 78¢ 100¢ $331 $426 +$95 (+29%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 48¢ 62¢ $303 $395 +$92 (+30%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Cambodia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $1,710 +$359 +21%
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $1,184 +$543 +46%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $1,545 +$166 +11%
Spread: Cambodia (-1.5) Jun 12 $103 +$496 +484%
Exact Score: Cambodia 1 - 1 Hong Kong SAR? Jun 12 $426 +$75 +18%
Will Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR end in a draw? Jun 12 $331 +$95 +29%
Exact Score: Cambodia 0 - 0 Hong Kong SAR? Jun 12 $244 +$20 +8%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $244 +$19 +8%
Spread: Hong Kong SAR (-1.5) Jun 12 $208 +$45 +22%
Exact Score: Cambodia 1 - 2 Hong Kong SAR? Jun 12 $214 +$21 +10%
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $184 +$11 +6%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $140 +$49 +35%
Exact Score: Cambodia 0 - 1 Hong Kong SAR? Jun 12 $134 +$21 +16%
Spread: Cambodia (-2.5) Jun 12 $122 +$23 +19%
Exact Score: Cambodia 2 - 1 Hong Kong SAR? Jun 12 $120 +$15 +13%
Exact Score: Cambodia 3 - 0 Hong Kong SAR? Jun 12 $102 +$23 +23%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $61 +$38 +63%
Exact Score: Cambodia 1 - 3 Hong Kong SAR? Jun 12 $82 +$4 +5%
Exact Score: Cambodia 2 - 3 Hong Kong SAR? Jun 12 $84 +$1 +1%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $29 +$34 +116%
Exact Score: Cambodia 2 - 2 Hong Kong SAR? Jun 12 $33 +$1 +3%
Exact Score: Cambodia 0 - 2 Hong Kong SAR? Jun 12 $20 +$2 +8%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $14 +$2 +11%
Exact Score: Cambodia 3 - 3 Hong Kong SAR? Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
FC Lorient vs. Olympique de Marseille: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $1 $0 +61%
Will HNK Vukovar 1991 vs. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +285%
Will AS Nancy-Lorraine win on 2026-04-25? Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
CA Mineiro vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $0 +$1 +270%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 168.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +82%
Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $0 +$1 +163%
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $0 $0 +108%
Independiente Santa Fe vs. CA Platense: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $0 +$1 +163%
Cádiz CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +61%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Will Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Tolima end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 $0 +150%
CD La Serena vs. CD Limache: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $0 +$1 +203%
Spread: Audax CS Italiano (-1.5) Jun 12 $0 +$1 +734%
Kahrabaa Ismailia FC vs. Haras El Hodood SC: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $0 $0 +43%
Will CF América win on 2026-02-28? Jun 12 $0 $0 +82%
Exact Score: CR Vasco da Gama 2 - 2 CA Mineiro? Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Spread: Cuiabá EC (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 $0 +233%
Varbergs BoIS vs. Norrby IF: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Spread: Club Cerro Porteño (-2.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 +33%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +72%
Spread: Serbia (-2.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 73% +$67,832
sports 27% +$24,385
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 94¢ $15 1m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 94¢ $73 1m
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 91¢ $10 1m
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 91¢ $49 1m
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 91¢ $10 2m
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 91¢ $29 2m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 85¢ $6 2m
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 91¢ $10 2m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 88¢ $37 3m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 89¢ $259 3m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 85¢ $13 3m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 86¢ $14 3m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 85¢ $113 3m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 86¢ $6 3m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 89¢ $8 3m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 86¢ $149 4m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 85¢ $56 4m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 85¢ $61 4m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 85¢ $55 4m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 86¢ $6 4m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 89¢ $8 4m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 86¢ $10 4m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 88¢ $7 5m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 89¢ $78 5m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 68¢ $21 5m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 89¢ $404 5m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 89¢ $266 5m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 85¢ $283 5m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 89¢ $75 6m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 89¢ $330 6m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-39.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 464 -33.6% -39.9% 28% 22% +25.2%
≤30d 464 -33.6% -39.9% 28% 22% +25.2%
≤90d 464 -33.6% -39.9% 28% 22% +25.2%
all 464 -33.6% -39.9% 28% 22% +25.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3426.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -39.9% 22% +25.2%
10% ← realistic here -45.6% 19% +13.2%
15% -50.9% 17% +2.3%
20% -55.7% 15% -7.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $83,859.28 · official $83,829.06 (match) · 3500 history records