Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:03:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc290…1234
crypto · 105 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$9 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$22 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$22
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses50 / 55
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)105 / 105
History coverage39d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day4.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 105 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$30
7 days−$15
14 days−$15
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $3 +$2 +49%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $4 +$10 +276%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $3 −$2 -64%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 −$2 -80%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
76ers vs. Knicks Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -57%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$8 +165%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET May 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET May 07 $1 −$1 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 07 $1 +$1 +65%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 77% −$24
sports 16% +$2
other 8% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Up 7¢ $0 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $0 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 11¢ $5 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 7¢ $3 2h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $14 3h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $4 9h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 23¢ $1 9h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 61¢ $3 11h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 11¢ $0 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 32h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-28.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -38.9% -44.8% 28% 26% -26.2%
≤30d 47 -38.9% -44.8% 28% 26% -26.2%
≤90d 105 -21.3% -28.8% 48% 39% -21.1%
all 105 -21.3% -28.8% 48% 39% -21.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -28.8% 39% -21.1%
10% -35.6% 30% -28.7%
15% -41.8% 20% -35.6%
20% -47.5% 12% -41.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 227 history records