Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:04:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc271…ee63
crypto · 901 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$592 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$592 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$592
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses568 / 332
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)900 / 901
History coverage96d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day29.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 900 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days−$21
14 days−$62
30 days−$159
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$9 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$4 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$12 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +9%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on June 6? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on June 5? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on June 5? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on June 5? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$3 +20%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 5? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 5? Jun 05 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market ca Jun 05 $7 −$5 -72%
Will another candidate win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles May Jun 05 $2 −$1 -45%
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral El Jun 05 $1 −$1 -85%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o Jun 05 $1 $0 -7%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on June 5 Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 5? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral El Jun 05 $1 −$1 -51%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 05 $2 −$2 -85%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 05 $1 +$2 +216%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 04 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 04 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 04 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 04 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 04 $13 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 04 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 04 $7 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 03 $8 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 03 $15 −$4 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 03 $13 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 03 $13 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 03 $13 +$11 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 03 $8 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 03 $14 −$9 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 03 $21 +$7 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 03 $9 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 03 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 03 $5 +$4 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 03 $6 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$569
other 0% −$3
weather 0% −$12
tech 0% −$6
sports 0% $0
politics 0% −$2
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -34.7% -40.9% 47% 27% -29.7%
≤30d 346 -9.8% -18.4% 57% 40% -13.4%
≤90d 728 -5.4% -14.4% 62% 38% -11.7%
all 900 -4.5% -13.6% 63% 39% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.6% 39% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -21.9% 24% -20.1%
15% -29.4% 15% -27.8%
20% -36.4% 12% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.47 · official $0.47 (match) · 3500 history records