Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:44:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc26a…b715
sports · 541 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$11,615 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11,820 · open +$205
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$415
Realized−$11,820
Unrealized+$205
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses154 / 386
Whale WR (big bets)42%
Est. fees paid−$2,895
Open positions1
Markets (closed)540 / 541
History coverage70d
Avg bet$200
Trades / day13.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 540 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,313
7 days−$2,264
14 days−$15,508
30 days−$6,704
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer David Jorda Sanchis 20¢ 40¢ $210 $415 +$205 (+98%)
Makarska: Barbora Palicova vs Elina Avanesyan Barbora Palicova 25¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 13¢ 0¢ $160 $0 −$160 (-100%)
Birmingham: Mackenzie McDonald vs Rinky Hijikata Mackenzie McDonald 21¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Geneva Open, Qualification: Kilian Feldbausch vs Nishesh Basavareddy Kilian Feldbausch 39¢ 0¢ $228 $0 −$228 (-100%)
Little Rock: Enzo Aguiard vs Andre Ilagan Enzo Aguiard 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikata Tom Gentzsch 22¢ 0¢ $208 $0 −$208 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Marta Kostyuk 14¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 15¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev Alexander Zverev 19¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream Washington Mystics 23¢ 0¢ $266 $0 −$266 (-100%)
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Daniel Merida Aguilar 44¢ 0¢ $339 $0 −$339 (-100%)
Prostejov: Tristan Boyer vs Filip Jianu Filip Jianu 13¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Istanbul: Hynek Barton vs David Jorda Sanchis Hynek Barton 25¢ 0¢ $145 $0 −$145 (-100%)
Heilbronn: Max Houkes vs Emilio Nava Max Houkes 22¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Modena: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Julia Grabher Andrea Lazaro Garcia 27¢ 0¢ $218 $0 −$218 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren August Holmgren 20¢ 0¢ $190 $0 −$190 (-100%)
Tyler: Hayato Matsuoka vs Henry Searle Hayato Matsuoka 20¢ 0¢ $193 $0 −$193 (-100%)
Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Jacopo Vasami Jacopo Vasami 18¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Perugia: Liam Broady vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Liam Broady 23¢ 0¢ $195 $0 −$195 (-100%)
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Kaitlin Quevedo 22¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Danilina/Krunic Danilina/Krunic 28¢ 0¢ $226 $0 −$226 (-100%)
Tyler: Fajing Sun vs Andre Ilagan Fajing Sun 34¢ 0¢ $135 $0 −$135 (-100%)
Cattolica: Alexander Vasilev vs Andrea Guerrieri Alexander Vasilev 17¢ 0¢ $217 $0 −$217 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $231 +$885 +383%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $232 −$227 -98%
ITF kiseljak: Yaroslav Demin vs Andrey Chepelev Jun 13 $235 −$230 -98%
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Carolina Alves Jun 12 $113 −$110 -97%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $256 −$250 -98%
ITF Martos: Emile Hudd vs Joao Domingues Jun 12 $297 +$956 +322%
ITF Martos: Dan Added vs Rafael Izquierdo Luque Jun 12 $398 −$390 -98%
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 12 $164 −$160 -98%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $501 +$1,062 +212%
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Jun 12 $195 −$190 -98%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $246 −$240 -98%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $419 −$191 -46%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $297 −$290 -98%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $589 +$540 +92%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $324 −$316 -98%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $408 +$1,120 +274%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $378 +$31 +8%
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Marjorie Souza Jun 11 $154 +$127 +82%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $431 −$97 -22%
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Arklon Del Pino Jun 11 $232 −$226 -98%
Barcelona vs. La Laguna Tenerife Jun 11 $311 −$304 -98%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Clement Tabur Jun 11 $154 −$150 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $219 +$131 +60%
Cattolica: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Jun 11 $171 −$166 -98%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $258 −$252 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $243 +$817 +336%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $256 +$652 +255%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $427 +$18 +4%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Hynek Barton Jun 11 $222 +$184 +83%
Lyon: Daniel Rincon vs Dali Blanch Jun 11 $331 −$325 -98%
Valencia vs. Joventut Jun 10 $160 +$172 +108%
Cattolica: Alexander Vasilev vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 10 $222 −$217 -98%
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur Jun 10 $189 −$184 -97%
Tucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Santiago De La Fuente Jun 09 $222 −$216 -97%
Barcelona vs. La Laguna Tenerife Jun 09 $444 −$435 -98%
Modena: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Julia Grabher Jun 09 $222 −$218 -98%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Polina Kudermetova Jun 09 $222 −$217 -98%
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria Jun 09 $222 −$217 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 09 $212 −$208 -98%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Mees Rottgering Jun 08 $442 −$433 -98%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Terence Atmane Jun 08 $311 −$306 -98%
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks Jun 07 $331 −$324 -98%
ITF Cuiaba: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Nick Hardt Jun 07 $222 −$217 -98%
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Jun 07 $345 −$339 -98%
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Andre Ilagan Jun 07 $230 −$224 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $508 −$328 -64%
Birmingham: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 07 $230 −$225 -98%
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Danilina/Krunic Jun 07 $231 −$226 -98%
ITF Bistrita: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Stefan Horia Haita Jun 07 $229 −$224 -98%
Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 06 $272 −$266 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$11,726
crypto 1% +$30
other 0% +$82
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY David Jorda Sanchis 20¢ $215 1h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel SELL Dane Sweeny 99¢ $1,116 2h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel BUY Dane Sweeny 20¢ $231 3h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 31¢ $232 4h
ITF kiseljak: Yaroslav Demin vs Andrey Chepelev BUY Yaroslav Demin 29¢ $235 6h
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Carolina Alves BUY Luiza Fullana 8¢ $10 15h
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Carolina Alves BUY Luiza Fullana 9¢ $103 15h
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Kaitlin Quevedo 22¢ $256 19h
ITF Martos: Emile Hudd vs Joao Domingues SELL Joao Domingues 94¢ $1,252 19h
ITF Martos: Emile Hudd vs Joao Domingues BUY Joao Domingues 21¢ $92 20h
ITF Martos: Emile Hudd vs Joao Domingues BUY Joao Domingues 22¢ $205 20h
ITF Martos: Dan Added vs Rafael Izquierdo Luque BUY Dan Added 14¢ $92 21h
ITF Martos: Dan Added vs Rafael Izquierdo Luque BUY Dan Added 37¢ $306 22h
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Raul Brancaccio 17¢ $164 23h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak SELL Kamil Majchrzak 90¢ $482 23h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak SELL Kamil Majchrzak 85¢ $1,081 23h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 27¢ $501 24h
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren BUY August Holmgren 20¢ $195 24h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 23¢ $246 25h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 22¢ $174 25h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo SELL Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 24¢ $214 25h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Benjamin Bonzi 25¢ $297 25h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard SELL Thijs Boogaard 64¢ $844 26h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 26¢ $245 26h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 15¢ $205 27h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Zhizhen Zhang 23¢ $92 27h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Zhizhen Zhang 25¢ $175 27h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Zhizhen Zhang 23¢ $57 27h
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis SELL David Jorda Sanchis 96¢ $1,528 28h
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis BUY David Jorda Sanchis 23¢ $123 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-21.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 -21.6% -29.1% 27% 23% -22.0%
≤30d 265 -17.7% -25.5% 26% 24% -18.8%
≤90d 540 -13.3% -21.6% 29% 28% -19.2%
all 540 -13.3% -21.6% 29% 28% -19.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.6% 28% -19.2%
10% -29.1% 27% -26.9%
15% -35.9% 26% -34.0%
20% -42.2% 26% -40.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $414.75 · official $414.75 (match) · 1208 history records