Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:30:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc264…216e
sports · 580 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$81 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$85 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$30
Realized−$85
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses324 / 245
Est. fees paid−$23
Open positions11
Markets (closed)569 / 580
History coverage61d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day25.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 11 History 569 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days−$1
14 days−$3
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? No 32¢ 74¢ $3 $7 +$4 (+133%)
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? No 53¢ 87¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+64%)
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? No 60¢ 86¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+44%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No 50¢ 32¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-34%)
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? No 49¢ 46¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-7%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 14? Yes 20¢ 20¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13? Yes 13¢ 9¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-29%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? No 8¢ 1¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-84%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? No 10¢ 10¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-7%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Yes 36¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+178%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? Yes 30¢ 64¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+112%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Katie Boulter vs Eva Lys Katie Boulter 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hurricanes vs. Flyers Flyers 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-03? No 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-07? No 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Thunder Lakers 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Wild vs. Avalanche Wild 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03? Yes 83¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June? No 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyuk Mirra Andreeva 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01? No 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 15? Yes 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $3 +$3 +81%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? Jun 11 $6 $0 -0%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? Jun 11 $2 −$1 -29%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $3 −$2 -53%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $7 $0 -4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $4 +$2 +37%
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $6 −$1 -18%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? Jun 09 $5 −$1 -12%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $8 +$2 +33%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 4? Jun 04 $8 +$2 +31%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $4 +$1 +40%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $7 +$3 +48%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? Jun 03 $4 $0 -6%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 03 $3 +$4 +112%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 03 $10 +$1 +6%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? Jun 03 $6 +$5 +76%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 02 $2 $0 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June? Jun 01 $2 −$2 -96%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June? Jun 01 $7 −$6 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June? Jun 01 $7 −$7 -98%
Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $6 −$6 -97%
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 31? Jun 01 $7 +$3 +46%
Will XRP reach $1.60 in May? Jun 01 $8 +$1 +16%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May? May 31 $6 −$4 -54%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31? May 30 $6 −$3 -48%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31? May 30 $8 −$4 -57%
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31? May 30 $4 −$3 -95%
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May? May 29 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29? May 29 $7 $0 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28? May 27 $4 −$2 -44%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28? May 27 $3 $0 +13%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25? May 24 $3 $0 +14%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25? May 24 $4 $0 +12%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23? May 23 $3 +$2 +67%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24? May 22 $3 −$2 -62%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22? May 22 $3 +$1 +28%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 22? May 22 $4 +$1 +25%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21? May 21 $7 +$3 +41%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20? May 20 $4 +$1 +21%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19? May 19 $7 +$1 +17%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 19? May 18 $3 $0 +14%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19? May 18 $4 $0 +12%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 17? May 17 $4 +$1 +19%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17? May 16 $3 +$1 +20%
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May? May 16 $3 $0 +6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? May 16 $3 $0 +11%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17? May 15 $2 −$2 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16? May 15 $4 $0 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15? May 15 $4 +$1 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 60% −$56
crypto 18% −$24
other 18% −$8
world 4% +$6
finance 0% −$1
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? SELL No 9¢ $2 35m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? BUY No 10¢ $3 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? SELL No 11¢ $3 2h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? BUY No 12¢ $3 2h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 13¢ $3 7h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? SELL Yes 57¢ $5 8h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 66¢ $6 8h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 14? BUY Yes 20¢ $3 12h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 30¢ $3 17h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 36¢ $3 26h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 32h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? BUY No 8¢ $3 37h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 3¢ $2 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 4¢ $0 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 4¢ $2 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 2d
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? SELL Yes 8¢ $1 2d
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 11¢ $1 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? SELL No 25¢ $1 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 5¢ $1 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? BUY No 52¢ $3 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 5¢ $1 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? SELL No 35¢ $3 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? BUY No 36¢ $3 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +153.8% +129.6% 22% 22% -15.8%
≤30d 51 +17.1% +5.9% 59% 49% -12.5%
≤90d 569 -4.6% -13.7% 57% 47% -12.5%
all 569 -4.6% -13.7% 57% 47% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.7% 47% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -22.0% 30% -20.9%
15% -29.5% 21% -28.5%
20% -36.4% 14% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $30.40 · official $30.18 (match) · 1947 history records