Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:44:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc263…1e83
sports · 348 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,051 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,998 · open −$53
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$831
Realized−$1,998
Unrealized−$53
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses164 / 146
Est. fees paid−$290
Open positions43
Markets (closed)310 / 348
History coverage11d
Avg bet$57
Trades / day308.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 43 History 310 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$115
7 days−$1,726
14 days−$1,998
30 days−$1,998
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 56¢ 81¢ $64 $92 +$29 (+45%)
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs OLDBOYS- 55¢ 55¢ $64 $64 +$0 (+0%)
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Legacy 58¢ 60¢ $59 $61 +$2 (+3%)
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) GenOne 68¢ 72¢ $54 $58 +$3 (+6%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Aurora Gaming 37¢ 38¢ $47 $48 +$1 (+3%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 47¢ 60¢ $36 $46 +$10 (+28%)
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) INOX Division 56¢ 50¢ $48 $44 −$5 (-10%)
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) G2 73¢ 90¢ $35 $43 +$8 (+22%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 33¢ 32¢ $40 $39 −$1 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage GenOne 46¢ 50¢ $34 $38 +$4 (+10%)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) PARIVISION 34¢ 100¢ $13 $38 +$25 (+189%)
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A STATE 83¢ 82¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-0%)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) Legacy 53¢ 54¢ $26 $26 +$0 (+1%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 34¢ 36¢ $19 $20 +$1 (+7%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 46¢ 42¢ $20 $18 −$1 (-7%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 32¢ 32¢ $18 $17 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 14¢ 14¢ $16 $15 −$1 (-5%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 24¢ 24¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner INOX Division 53¢ 50¢ $12 $11 −$1 (-5%)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) G2 34¢ 50¢ $7 $11 +$3 (+47%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 57¢ 66¢ $9 $11 +$1 (+15%)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5) G2 63¢ 64¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Ursa 63¢ 62¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) PARIVISION 31¢ 82¢ $4 $9 +$6 (+160%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 19¢ 18¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-5%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Portoroz: Eva Vedder vs Kristina Novak Jun 12 $0 $0 +41%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +27%
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $20 +$17 +87%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $12 −$1 -10%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $19 $0 -2%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) Jun 12 $7 +$3 +49%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5) Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 12 $63 +$27 +42%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$6 +114%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5) Jun 12 $9 +$12 +140%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $19 +$12 +61%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $64 +$42 +65%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $22 +$14 +63%
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playof Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5) Jun 11 $16 +$27 +162%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $34 +$25 +76%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $11 +$5 +51%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5) Jun 11 $13 +$9 +66%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5) Jun 11 $7 +$8 +115%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5) Jun 11 $16 −$16 -100%
Map Handicap: OXUJI (-1.5) vs Bebop (+1.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $22 +$18 +84%
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 11 $17 +$27 +160%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $28 +$14 +50%
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+1.5) Jun 11 $19 +$15 +80%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 11 $18 −$18 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $12 −$12 -100%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group S Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $18 +$14 +75%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $2 +$3 +109%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5) Jun 11 $14 +$7 +50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) Jun 11 $19 −$19 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $14 −$14 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$11 +114%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 11 $35 +$17 +49%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) Jun 11 $2 +$3 +132%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $101 +$14 +14%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-3.5) vs KOLESIE (+3.5) Jun 11 $6 −$1 -16%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) Jun 11 $5 +$5 +90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) Jun 11 $14 +$23 +162%
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 11 $25 +$44 +178%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $12 +$18 +149%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 11 $24 −$24 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$2,050
other 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY STATE 82¢ $4 0m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $2 0m
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY STATE 82¢ $4 0m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 39¢ $2 0m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 19¢ $1 0m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 53¢ $3 0m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL PARIVISION 100¢ $37 9m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 53¢ $3 11m
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY STATE 83¢ $4 15m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $2 15m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 55¢ $3 15m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 56¢ $3 24m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 56¢ $3 26m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 56¢ $3 29m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 56¢ $3 29m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 56¢ $3 29m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 56¢ $3 29m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 56¢ $3 29m
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY STATE 83¢ $4 30m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $2 30m
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) SELL MOUZ 99¢ $10 34m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 55¢ $3 44m
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY STATE 83¢ $4 44m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $2 44m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 56¢ $3 44m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 56¢ $3 59m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY STATE 82¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 55¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-3.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 271 -3.1% -12.4% 51% 51% -20.9%
≤30d 310 +6.4% -3.7% 53% 53% -19.0%
≤90d 310 +6.4% -3.7% 53% 53% -19.0%
all 310 +6.4% -3.7% 53% 53% -19.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover308.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.7% 53% -19.0%
10% ← realistic here -12.9% 50% -26.7%
15% -21.4% 45% -33.8%
20% -29.1% 37% -40.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $830.57 · official $829.39 (match) · 3500 history records