Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T13:32:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C2 0xc25d…7fd6 crypto 434 markets active 5d ago coverage 4d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 3d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (313 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$10,203 (+146%) realized +$10,203 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate46%199W / 235L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$16per market
Trades / day313.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$21now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$535
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (313 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-18.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 254 -8.9% -17.6% 47% 44% -14.9%
≤30d 434 -9.5% -18.1% 46% 43% -16.5%
≤90d 434 -9.5% -18.1% 46% 43% -16.5%
all 434 -9.5% -18.1% 46% 43% -16.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover313.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.1% 43% -16.5%
10% ← realistic here -26.0% 35% -24.5%
15% -33.1% 25% -31.8%
20% -39.7% 17% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$8 · ×0.85 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.72 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$21
Realized+$10,203
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses199 / 235
Open positions0
Markets (closed)434 / 434
History coverage4d ⚠
Avg bet$16
Trades / day313.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 434 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$30 -70%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$6 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$3 -10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$8 -32%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$4 -34%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$18 -48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$6 +51%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$26 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$8 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$5 -37%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$6 -25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $67 +$21 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$39 +107%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$10 -53%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $37 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$3 -21%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$39 +211%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$6 -47%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$6 -47%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$13 -41%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$15 -60%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$9 -39%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$10 -32%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$13 +35%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +53%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.00 · official $21.00 (match) · 3500 history records