Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:27:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc254…9633
crypto · 853 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$50 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$47 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$3
Realized−$47
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses290 / 560
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)850 / 853
Avg bet$5
Trades / day30.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 850 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$211
7 days−$211
14 days−$211
30 days−$211
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 81¢ 84¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 4¢ 2¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-38%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 26, 6PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -13%
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -23%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - March 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -68%
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -82%
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$40
other 1% −$3
sports 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 81¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-18.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 96 -62.7% -66.2% 16% 9% -58.4%
≤30d 96 -62.7% -66.2% 16% 9% -58.4%
≤90d 850 -10.2% -18.8% 34% 26% -10.6%
all 850 -10.2% -18.8% 34% 26% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.8% 26% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -26.5% 21% -19.2%
15% -33.6% 18% -27.0%
20% -40.1% 15% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.35 · official $30.35 · 3500 history records