Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:49:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc254…c435
sports · 113 markets active 2h ago
2.0score
+$1,950 +18%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,950 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,950
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses45 / 68
Est. fees paid−$186
Open positions0
Markets (closed)113 / 113
History coverage37d
Avg bet$94
Trades / day6.3
Drawdown38%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 0 History 113 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$107
7 days+$600
14 days+$916
30 days+$1,454
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians Cincinnati Reds 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Under 55¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 Under 52¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 20¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Under 57¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-8.5) Spurs 55¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Altmaier (+1.5) Altmaier 60¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians Washington Nationals 37¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Houston Astros 42¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-17? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Knicks vs. 76ers 76ers 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners Chicago White Sox 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres San Diego Padres 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Colorado Rockies 36¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks 35¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Colorado Rockies 39¢ 0¢ $210 $0 −$210 (-100%)
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Anhelina Kalinina vs Anna Bondar Anna Bondar 28¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres San Diego Padres 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies San Diego Padres 42¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 Under 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Milwaukee Brewers 48¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Martin Landaluce Hamad Medjedovic 24¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Miami Marlins 44¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Daniel Altmaier Daniel Altmaier 32¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners Chicago White Sox 32¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$25 +249%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $29 −$28 -98%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $61 −$60 -98%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $305 +$325 +107%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $152 −$150 -98%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 10 $20 −$2 -9%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $51 −$50 -99%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $20 −$20 -98%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $20 +$38 +188%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 10 $20 +$21 +105%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 10 $41 +$52 +129%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 10 $20 −$20 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $10 +$17 +165%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $81 +$92 +114%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $61 +$132 +215%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 09 $41 +$45 +112%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 08 $112 +$159 +142%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 07 $304 +$284 +93%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 07 $153 −$150 -98%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 07 $20 −$20 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $20 −$20 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $410 −$400 -98%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 06 $812 +$334 +41%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5 Jun 05 $405 −$400 -99%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 04 $20 −$20 -98%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Jun 04 $122 −$97 -80%
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 04 $173 +$320 +185%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Jun 04 $112 +$148 +132%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 04 $51 −$50 -98%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 04 $81 −$80 -98%
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 02 $153 −$150 -98%
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 13.5 Jun 02 $203 +$168 +83%
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5 Jun 02 $20 +$34 +165%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 Jun 01 $30 −$30 -99%
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates May 30 $20 −$20 -98%
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox May 30 $102 +$109 +107%
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox May 30 $204 +$384 +188%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 May 29 $203 −$200 -99%
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 May 29 $51 −$50 -99%
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates May 29 $41 −$40 -98%
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers May 29 $51 +$65 +129%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 May 29 $51 +$47 +93%
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5 May 28 $10 −$10 -98%
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers May 28 $51 +$56 +110%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 May 27 $102 −$57 -56%
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 May 27 $506 +$364 +72%
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians May 27 $51 −$50 -98%
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians May 27 $102 +$118 +116%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers May 26 $214 −$210 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% +$1,947
other 3% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $36 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $5 5h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $10 5h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 26¢ $8 25h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 26¢ $20 25h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets BUY St. Louis Cardinals 24¢ $10 30h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets BUY St. Louis Cardinals 49¢ $20 30h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets BUY St. Louis Cardinals 49¢ $30 30h
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 47¢ $102 43h
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 48¢ $203 43h
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Milwaukee Brewers 33¢ $20 44h
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Milwaukee Brewers 51¢ $20 46h
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Milwaukee Brewers 52¢ $112 46h
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers SELL Minnesota Twins 37¢ $0 2d
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers SELL Minnesota Twins 37¢ $19 2d
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers BUY Minnesota Twins 40¢ $10 2d
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers BUY Minnesota Twins 38¢ $10 2d
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 54¢ $20 2d
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 56¢ $30 2d
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres BUY Cincinnati Reds 36¢ $10 2d
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres BUY Cincinnati Reds 36¢ $10 2d
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres BUY Cincinnati Reds 34¢ $10 2d
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres BUY Cincinnati Reds 34¢ $10 2d
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 38¢ $10 2d
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Houston Astros 37¢ $10 2d
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 45¢ $10 2d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 BUY Under 48¢ $20 2d
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 45¢ $20 2d
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Houston Astros 49¢ $10 2d
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 37¢ $10 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 +23.0% +11.3% 50% 50% +10.1%
≤30d 97 -7.8% -16.6% 38% 38% +5.4%
≤90d 113 -4.9% -14.0% 40% 40% +7.6%
all 113 -4.9% -14.0% 40% 40% +7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.0% 40% +7.6%
10% -22.2% 40% -2.7%
15% -29.7% 40% -12.1%
20% -36.6% 39% -20.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 267 history records