Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:37:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc249…c235
sports · 84 markets active 2h ago
2.0score
−$40 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$40 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$40
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses40 / 43
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)83 / 84
History coverage137d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day1.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 1 History 83 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-0%)
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals Oh My God 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
SS Lazio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5 Under 68¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Ultra Prime 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
NAC Breda vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Warriors vs. Timberwolves Warriors 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
PSV vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5 Over 47¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Aston Villa FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5 Under 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-02-01? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-31? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Aston Villa FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5 Under 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Bilibili Gaming 75¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Invictus Gaming 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance Team WE 44¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5 Under 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
FK Crvena zvezda vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Score No 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-08? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5) EDward Gaming 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-01-30? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) Team WE 69¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-08? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bristol City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5 Under 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $4 +$1 +32%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$2 +106%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Jun 12 $10 −$5 -44%
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi May 14 $17 −$17 -98%
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? May 14 $8 −$8 -97%
Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5 Mar 24 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals Feb 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5) Feb 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-08? Feb 08 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-08? Feb 08 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-02-08? Feb 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Fulham FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5 Feb 07 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07? Feb 07 $8 +$5 +61%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance Feb 07 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-02-07? Feb 07 $4 −$4 -100%
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5 Feb 07 $10 +$9 +88%
Macarthur FC vs. Perth Glory FC: Both Teams to Score Feb 07 $13 +$8 +64%
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-02-06? Feb 06 $4 +$4 +92%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Feb 06 $4 +$3 +79%
76ers vs. Lakers Feb 06 $6 +$5 +75%
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5) Feb 05 $6 −$6 -100%
Game Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+1.5) Feb 05 $6 −$6 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Feb 05 $11 +$11 +96%
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5) Feb 04 $6 +$4 +75%
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) Feb 04 $26 −$26 -100%
Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score Feb 04 $11 −$11 -100%
New Zealand Breakers vs. Melbourne United Feb 04 $6 −$6 -100%
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+1.5) Feb 04 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Warriors (-4.5) Feb 04 $10 +$11 +108%
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challenge Feb 03 $11 +$7 +61%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Feb 03 $5 −$5 -100%
76ers vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5 Feb 03 $9 −$9 -100%
Rockets vs. Pacers Feb 03 $15 +$8 +52%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Feb 02 $7 +$3 +49%
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Feb 02 $10 −$10 -100%
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5 Feb 02 $9 +$3 +30%
Will Torino FC win on 2026-02-01? Feb 01 $8 +$9 +122%
PSV vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5 Feb 01 $6 −$6 -100%
Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) Feb 01 $9 +$7 +82%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Feb 01 $5 −$5 -100%
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-02-01? Feb 01 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-02-01? Feb 01 $7 −$3 -39%
Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 Jan 31 $14 +$14 +100%
SSC Napoli vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5 Jan 31 $11 +$14 +127%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5 Jan 31 $7 +$6 +88%
Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 Jan 31 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-31? Jan 31 $10 +$6 +58%
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-31? Jan 31 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jan 31 $8 +$6 +75%
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-31? Jan 31 $2 +$4 +194%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 75% −$14
other 21% −$1
tech 3% −$17
world 1% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $9 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 SELL Under 57¢ $5 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 99¢ $4 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 BUY Under 42¢ $4 12h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 14h
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL Yes 9¢ $6 14h
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi BUY Yes 59¢ $17 29d
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? BUY Yes 21¢ $8 29d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? BUY Yes 15¢ $10 29d
Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5 BUY Under 54¢ $2 81d
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals BUY Oh My God 37¢ $3 121d
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5) BUY EDward Gaming 62¢ $10 122d
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-08? BUY Yes 41¢ $4 124d
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-08? BUY Yes 59¢ $7 124d
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-02-08? BUY Yes 32¢ $3 124d
Fulham FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 51¢ $8 125d
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07? SELL Yes 100¢ $13 125d
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07? BUY Yes 62¢ $8 125d
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance BUY Team WE 44¢ $6 125d
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-02-07? BUY Yes 35¢ $4 125d
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $19 125d
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 53¢ $10 125d
Macarthur FC vs. Perth Glory FC: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 61¢ $13 126d
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-02-06? SELL Yes 100¢ $8 126d
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-02-06? BUY Yes 52¢ $4 126d
76ers vs. Lakers SELL Lakers 100¢ $11 126d
76ers vs. Lakers BUY Lakers 57¢ $6 127d
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend BUY Top Esports 56¢ $4 127d
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5) BUY JD Gaming 42¢ $6 127d
Game Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+1.5) BUY Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming 43¢ $6 127d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +31.2% +18.7% 67% 67% -16.3%
≤30d 5 -21.3% -28.8% 40% 40% -67.0%
≤90d 6 -34.4% -40.6% 33% 33% -68.3%
all 83 -7.6% -16.4% 48% 48% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.4% 48% -15.3%
10% -24.4% 48% -23.4%
15% -31.7% 45% -30.8%
20% -38.4% 41% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.88 · official $8.88 (match) · 143 history records