Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:06:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc241…1487
crypto · 218 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,250 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,259 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$3,259
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses108 / 110
Open positions4
Markets (closed)218 / 218
History coverage107d
Avg bet$78
Trades / day32.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 4 History 218 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days−$55
14 days+$35
30 days−$40
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? No 80¢ 92¢ $8 $9 +$1 (+15%)
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes 18¢ 10¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-47%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes 13¢ 6¢ $1 $1 −$1 (-53%)
Will Hunter Brown win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-98%)
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 20? No 26¢ 0¢ $126 $0 −$126 (-100%)
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 13? No 39¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30? No 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? No 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $238 $0 −$238 (-100%)
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 9? No 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8? No 49¢ 0¢ $899 $0 −$899 (-100%)
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026? No 21¢ 0¢ $1,147 $0 −$1,147 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 20? No 32¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 20? No 10¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -57%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $147 +$5 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 12? Jun 10 $113 −$91 -80%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $70 +$12 +17%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $33 +$11 +32%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $92 +$8 +9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $88 −$6 -7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15? Jun 09 $8 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 12? Jun 07 $119 −$48 -40%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 11? Jun 07 $62 −$19 -30%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $69 −$25 -36%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $149 −$11 -8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? Jun 07 $136 +$16 +12%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? Jun 07 $6 +$8 +136%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? Jun 07 $42 +$29 +69%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? Jun 07 $44 +$45 +101%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $19 +$1 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $39 −$20 -52%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? Jun 05 $6 +$27 +441%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $47 +$3 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5? Jun 04 $25 −$3 -14%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $128 +$89 +70%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $58 −$3 -4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4? Jun 03 $7 +$8 +114%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9? Jun 03 $36 −$17 -48%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7? Jun 03 $46 −$26 -57%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9? Jun 03 $44 −$18 -41%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7? Jun 03 $12 −$3 -27%
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 1-7? Jun 03 $6 −$1 -11%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 1-7? Jun 03 $19 −$2 -10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6? Jun 03 $1 +$5 +356%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8? Jun 03 $6 +$8 +146%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $35 +$62 +179%
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 June 1-7? Jun 02 $13 +$4 +29%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3? Jun 02 $25 +$32 +127%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $11 +$2 +22%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2? Jun 01 $35 +$1 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $93 −$29 -31%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31? May 31 $58 −$2 -3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30? May 30 $10 +$1 +8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29? May 29 $52 −$18 -34%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28? May 28 $41 +$2 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28? May 28 $26 $0 -2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27? May 27 $25 +$1 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26? May 26 $98 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26? May 26 $29 −$5 -18%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25? May 25 $84 −$1 -2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24? May 24 $82 +$4 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 23? May 23 $25 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22? May 22 $22 +$3 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 68% −$731
tech 14% −$751
economics 10% −$949
other 6% −$762
world 1% +$7
politics 1% −$74
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? SELL No 88¢ $1 0m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? SELL No 88¢ $8 0m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? SELL No 85¢ $5 2m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? SELL No 86¢ $9 2m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? SELL No 88¢ $1 3m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? SELL No 88¢ $5 3m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? SELL No 88¢ $4 3m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? SELL No 85¢ $0 4m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? SELL No 85¢ $18 4m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? SELL No 84¢ $13 4m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? SELL No 93¢ $26 12m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? SELL No 91¢ $35 13m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 88¢ $9 33m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 89¢ $6 34m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 81¢ $0 56m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 81¢ $8 56m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 83¢ $8 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 84¢ $8 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 83¢ $2 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 83¢ $7 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 84¢ $8 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 85¢ $9 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 85¢ $9 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 77¢ $8 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 72¢ $7 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 72¢ $7 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 73¢ $15 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 74¢ $11 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $70 22h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? SELL No 98¢ $23 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 +30.7% +18.2% 63% 37% -13.3%
≤30d 61 +18.7% +7.4% 56% 30% -9.9%
≤90d 172 +1.2% -8.4% 56% 19% -13.8%
all 218 -4.8% -13.9% 50% 19% -27.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.9% 19% -27.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.1% 14% -34.6%
15% -29.6% 10% -40.9%
20% -36.5% 9% -46.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.39 · official $10.39 (match) · 3500 history records