Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:49:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc23d…82c8
sports · 319 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$100,084 +16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$140,179 · open +$247
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$23,560
Realized−$140,179
Unrealized+$247
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses274 / 499
Whale WR (big bets)69%
Est. fees paid−$1,801
Open positions7
Markets (closed)773 / 319
History coverage13d
Avg bet$1,977
Trades / day251.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 7 History 773 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$144,708
7 days−$141,978
14 days−$140,179
30 days−$140,179
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Over 95¢ 100¢ $8,375 $8,775 +$400 (+5%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 99¢ 100¢ $5,634 $5,701 +$67 (+1%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 95¢ 90¢ $5,666 $5,387 −$279 (-5%)
Spread: Germany (-2.5) Germany 99¢ 100¢ $2,812 $2,849 +$37 (+1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $733 $740 +$7 (+1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Over 81¢ 100¢ $58 $72 +$14 (+23%)
Spread: Germany (-4.5) Germany 59¢ 60¢ $35 $35 +$1 (+2%)
Will Elche CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw? No 8¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-20? No 60¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-30? No 11¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Fortaleza CEIF end in a draw? No 35¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5) Real Betis Balompié 56¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-17? Yes 71¢ 0¢ $3,479 $0 −$3,479 (-100%)
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-23? No 61¢ 0¢ $744 $0 −$744 (-100%)
Will Dundee United FC win on 2025-12-03? Yes 91¢ 0¢ $182 $0 −$182 (-100%)
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-10? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Will Mali win on 2025-12-22? Yes 95¢ 0¢ $1,347 $0 −$1,347 (-100%)
Will Girona FC vs. Getafe CF end in a draw? No 2¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-18? Yes 68¢ 0¢ $1,116 $0 −$1,116 (-100%)
Hornets vs. Pacers Hornets 53¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 66% and 68%? Yes 95¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-11-20? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-02-09? Yes 86¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce Martin Landaluce 20¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-06? No 3¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elche CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw? Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-20? Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Fortaleza CEIF end in a draw? Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5) Jun 14 $45 −$28 -61%
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-17? Jun 14 $3,479 −$3,479 -100%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-23? Jun 14 $744 −$744 -100%
Will Dundee United FC win on 2025-12-03? Jun 14 $182 −$182 -100%
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-10? Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Mali win on 2025-12-22? Jun 14 $1,347 −$959 -71%
Will Girona FC vs. Getafe CF end in a draw? Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-18? Jun 14 $1,116 −$1,116 -100%
Hornets vs. Pacers Jun 14 $0 −$22 -11761%
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential E Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-11-20? Jun 14 $38 −$38 -100%
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-02-09? Jun 14 $59 −$59 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce Jun 14 $32 +$106 +328%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-06? Jun 14 $11 −$77 -667%
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-16? Jun 14 $1,135 −$1,135 -100%
Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $105 −$105 -100%
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? Jun 14 $72 −$72 -100%
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-02-11? Jun 14 $594 −$594 -100%
Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? Jun 14 $628 −$628 -100%
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-05? Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Aston Villa vs. Arsenal end in a draw? Jun 14 $108 −$108 -100%
Will Haras El Hodood SC win on 2026-05-13? Jun 14 $7 −$9 -119%
São Paulo FC vs. Botafogo FR: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $213 −$222 -104%
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-14? Jun 14 $320 −$320 -100%
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Jara win by 0-3%? Jun 14 $33 −$28 -85%
Mavericks vs. Nuggets Jun 14 $191 −$277 -145%
FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-01-25? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-20? Jun 14 $47 −$47 -100%
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-05-28? Jun 14 $322 −$322 -100%
Will CA Juventud win on 2026-05-21? Jun 14 $895 −$895 -100%
Will Austin FC win on 2026-05-10? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will CD Palestino vs. CF Universidad de Chile end in a draw? Jun 14 $117 −$117 -100%
Will Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw? Jun 14 $233 −$433 -186%
Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12? Jun 14 $213 −$226 -106%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-10? Jun 14 $398 −$398 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23? Jun 14 $573 −$573 -100%
Spread: Rockets (-8.5) Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Athletic Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $348 −$348 -100%
Will Jara win by 9-12%? Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-19? Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $483 −$483 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 62% +$9,332
other 31% −$4,400
politics 5% +$5,316
crypto 2% −$133
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 100¢ $8,546 6m
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Germany 98¢ $2,797 8m
Spread: Germany (-5.5) SELL Germany 30¢ $244 14m
Spread: Germany (-5.5) SELL Germany 30¢ $42 14m
Spread: Germany (-5.5) SELL Germany 30¢ $18 14m
Spread: Germany (-5.5) SELL Germany 30¢ $100 14m
Spread: Germany (-5.5) SELL Germany 30¢ $116 15m
Spread: Germany (-5.5) SELL Germany 30¢ $194 15m
Spread: Germany (-5.5) SELL Germany 30¢ $116 15m
Spread: Germany (-5.5) SELL Germany 30¢ $15 15m
Spread: Germany (-5.5) SELL Germany 30¢ $10 15m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 99¢ $826 16m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 99¢ $581 16m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 99¢ $59 16m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 99¢ $20 16m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 99¢ $20 16m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 99¢ $102 16m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 99¢ $0 16m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 99¢ $238 16m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 99¢ $163 16m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 99¢ $6 16m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 16m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 99¢ $101 16m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 99¢ $296 16m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 99¢ $27 16m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 99¢ $172 16m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 99¢ $244 16m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 99¢ $240 16m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 99¢ $1,172 16m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 99¢ $17 16m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-50.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 621 -56.6% -60.7% 23% 5% -33.7%
≤30d 773 -45.5% -50.7% 35% 7% -25.8%
≤90d 773 -45.5% -50.7% 35% 7% -25.8%
all 773 -45.5% -50.7% 35% 7% -25.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover251.9 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -50.7% 7% -25.8%
10% -55.4% 5% -32.9%
15% ← realistic here -59.7% 4% -39.4%
20% -63.7% 3% -45.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23,559.59 · official $23,519.66 (match) · 3500 history records