Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:01:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc22c…8730
crypto · 824 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,886 -30%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,887 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$2,887
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses602 / 446
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1048 / 824
History coverage19d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day162.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1048 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,645
7 days−$2,652
14 days−$2,798
30 days−$2,887
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 49¢ 52¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 39¢ 48¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+24%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$10 -176%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$16 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$296
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $8 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 35m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-27.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 545 -39.3% -45.1% 46% 22% -54.9%
≤30d 1048 -20.3% -27.9% 57% 28% -31.4%
≤90d 1048 -20.3% -27.9% 57% 28% -31.4%
all 1048 -20.3% -27.9% 57% 28% -31.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover162.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.9% 28% -31.4%
10% ← realistic here -34.8% 9% -37.9%
15% -41.1% 5% -43.9%
20% -46.9% 3% -49.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.00 · official $6.00 (match) · 3500 history records