trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +69.5% | +53.4% | 60% | 60% | -7.0% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +96.8% | +78.0% | 64% | 64% | +23.0% |
| ≤90d | 36 | +47.0% | +33.0% | 61% | 61% | +4.1% |
| all | 136 | +25.3% | +13.3% | 56% | 55% | +12.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +13.3% | 55% | +12.4% |
| 10% | +2.5% | 52% | +1.7% |
| 15% | -7.4% | 50% | -8.2% |
| 20% | -16.5% | 47% | -17.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 67¢ | 68¢ | $27 | $27 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Yes | 24¢ | 24¢ | $7 | $7 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $4 | $4 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $75 | −$74 | -99% |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | Jun 23 | $17 | −$17 | -99% |
| Spread: Portugal (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $25 | +$15 | +59% |
| Spread: Portugal (-4.5) | Jun 23 | $6 | +$24 | +394% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $61 | +$58 | +95% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $113 | +$87 | +77% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $36 | +$10 | +28% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $17 | +$143 | +828% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $15 | +$25 | +158% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $11 | +$19 | +165% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 | Jun 02 | $17 | −$16 | -99% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 30 | $59 | −$58 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $20 | +$10 | +50% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $20 | +$23 | +114% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 21 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | May 21 | $51 | +$8 | +15% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 21 | $101 | +$46 | +46% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | May 02 | $393 | −$240 | -61% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | May 02 | $25 | +$75 | +307% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | May 02 | $24 | +$27 | +114% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | May 01 | $28 | +$22 | +76% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 30 | $100 | +$149 | +149% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 30 | $34 | −$34 | -99% |
| Spread: Thunder (-11.5) | Apr 28 | $27 | +$22 | +83% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 28 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Apr 28 | $76 | −$76 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 27 | $29 | −$28 | -98% |
| Spread: Celtics (-11.5) | Apr 27 | $26 | −$26 | -99% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-11.5) | Apr 27 | $52 | −$51 | -99% |
| Thunder vs. Nuggets | Apr 27 | $498 | +$99 | +20% |
| Hawks vs. Spurs | Apr 10 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Apr 10 | $13 | +$7 | +54% |
| Hornets vs. Hawks | Apr 10 | $18 | +$12 | +67% |
| Nets vs. Raptors | Apr 10 | $26 | +$14 | +56% |
| Spurs vs. Suns | Apr 10 | $21 | +$29 | +136% |
| Kings vs. Grizzlies | Nov 24 | $12 | +$8 | +72% |
| 76ers vs. Bucks | Nov 24 | $11 | +$9 | +89% |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) | Nov 21 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Spread: Magic (-14.5) | Nov 21 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Spurs | Nov 21 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Pistons | Nov 21 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Spread: Clippers (-3.5) | Nov 21 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5) | Nov 21 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Timberwolves | Nov 21 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Rockets | Nov 21 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Knicks | Nov 21 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Bucks | Nov 21 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Nov 21 | $29 | +$21 | +72% |
| Spread: Suns (-5.5) | Nov 14 | $9 | +$11 | +133% |