Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:09:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc221…dbef
other · 123 markets active 2h ago
3.0score
+$4,421 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,396 · open +$25
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,582
Realized+$4,396
Unrealized+$25
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses91 / 16
Whale WR (big bets)93%
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions13
Markets (closed)107 / 123
History coverage614d
Avg bet$1,597
Trades / day1.0
Drawdown9%
Kalshi-fit49%
Chart Positions 13 History 107 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$22
7 days+$254
14 days+$322
30 days+$329
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will cobraze have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 No 99¢ 100¢ $416 $418 +$2 (+1%)
Will maxxkor have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 No 99¢ 100¢ $346 $348 +$2 (+1%)
Will gr1ks have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 No 99¢ 100¢ $280 $282 +$2 (+1%)
Will donk have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 No 97¢ 100¢ $263 $270 +$7 (+3%)
Will dziugss have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 No 99¢ 99¢ $250 $251 +$1 (+1%)
Will insani have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 No 99¢ 100¢ $248 $249 +$1 (+1%)
Will yxngstxr have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 No 99¢ 100¢ $246 $248 +$2 (+1%)
Will Jame have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 No 99¢ 100¢ $206 $207 +$1 (+1%)
Will NiKo have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 No 99¢ 100¢ $111 $112 +$1 (+1%)
Will PARIVISION reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+0%)
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes 49¢ 49¢ $49 $49 +$0 (+1%)
Will Valve remove Mirage from the Map Pool? No 93¢ 98¢ $46 $49 +$2 (+5%)
Will Valve remove Dust 2 from the Map Pool? No 94¢ 97¢ $47 $49 +$2 (+4%)
Will 9z qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026? No 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 13 $6,278 +$6 +0%
Will B8 qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? Jun 13 $340 +$11 +3%
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Jun 13 $36,000 $0 +0%
Will BetBoom qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? Jun 12 $8 +$5 +62%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $21 +$9 +42%
Will BIG qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? Jun 09 $3,707 +$43 +1%
Will TYLOO qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? Jun 09 $2,068 +$3 +0%
Will TYLOO win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 09 $18,945 +$19 +0%
Will paiN qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? Jun 09 $3,152 +$7 +0%
Will M80 qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? Jun 09 $914 +$7 +1%
Will G2 qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 08 $50 $0 +0%
Will MIBR qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? Jun 08 $98 +$7 +8%
Will MIBR qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 08 $213 +$61 +29%
Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 08 $1,496 +$4 +0%
Will Astralis qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? Jun 08 $472 +$1 +0%
Will Astralis reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 08 $3,213 +$29 +1%
Will GamerLegion qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? Jun 07 $249 +$4 +2%
Will Spirit qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 07 $723 +$3 +0%
Will GamerLegion reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 07 $4,947 +$31 +1%
Will FlyQuest win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 07 $999 +$1 +0%
Will FlyQuest qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? Jun 07 $695 +$2 +0%
Will 9z qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 06 $4 −$4 -100%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 06 $8,013 $0 +0%
Will NRG qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? Jun 06 $97 +$3 +3%
Will Team Liquid win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 05 $999 +$1 +0%
Will Team Liquid qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? Jun 05 $572 +$3 +1%
Will Lynn Vision qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? Jun 05 $1,039 +$5 +0%
Will Sharks qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? Jun 04 $97 +$3 +3%
Will Thunder downunder qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? Jun 04 $504 +$4 +1%
Will HEROIC win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 04 $999 +$1 +0%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 04 $16,514 +$38 +0%
Will Valve add first CS2 operation by May 31, 2026? Jun 02 $545 +$12 +2%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 May 18 $6 +$4 +82%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 May 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? May 17 $14 $0 +0%
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? May 17 $25 $0 +1%
Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? May 17 $110 $0 +0%
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? May 17 $120 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Play May 17 $4 +$1 +37%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner May 17 $7 +$3 +43%
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026? May 01 $27,601 +$2,709 +10%
US x Iran ceasefire by May 15? Apr 07 $990 +$4 +0%
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? Apr 07 $1,485 +$6 +0%
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? Apr 07 $82 +$1 +1%
Will Trump say "Equipment" during Monday news conference? Apr 07 $875 +$2 +0%
Will Trump say "Easter" or "Egg" during Monday news conference? Apr 07 $1,990 +$10 +0%
Will Trump say "Left Behind" during Monday news conference? Apr 06 $1,042 +$10 +1%
Will Trump say "Afghanistan" during Monday news conference? Apr 06 $20 $0 +0%
Will Trump say "China" during Monday news conference? Apr 06 $72 +$1 +1%
Will Trump say "Dominance" or "Superiority" during Monday news confere Apr 06 $199 +$1 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 66% +$3,545
politics 14% +$1,066
sports 9% +$129
crypto 8% +$38
world 2% −$358
culture 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Jame have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 BUY No 99¢ $206 1h
Will PARIVISION reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 100¢ $50 1h
Will yxngstxr have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 BUY No 100¢ $100 7h
Will gr1ks have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 BUY No 100¢ $26 7h
Will NiKo have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 BUY No 99¢ $17 8h
Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 100¢ $6,278 8h
Will maxxkor have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 BUY No 99¢ $123 19h
Will insani have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 BUY No 99¢ $7 22h
Will gr1ks have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 BUY No 100¢ $14 22h
Will gr1ks have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 BUY No 100¢ $7 22h
Will gr1ks have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 BUY No 100¢ $7 22h
Will insani have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 BUY No 100¢ $7 22h
Will gr1ks have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 BUY No 100¢ $7 22h
Will insani have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 BUY No 100¢ $7 22h
Will insani have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 BUY No 100¢ $7 22h
Will insani have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 BUY No 99¢ $33 22h
Will gr1ks have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 BUY No 99¢ $12 22h
Will gr1ks have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 BUY No 99¢ $7 22h
Will gr1ks have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 BUY No 100¢ $16 23h
Will insani have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 BUY No 100¢ $7 23h
Will maxxkor have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 BUY No 99¢ $10 23h
Will cobraze have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 BUY No 99¢ $17 23h
Will cobraze have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 BUY No 100¢ $60 23h
Will yxngstxr have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 BUY No 99¢ $7 24h
Will insani have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 BUY No 100¢ $62 25h
Will insani have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 BUY No 99¢ $26 25h
Will dziugss have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 BUY No 99¢ $99 25h
Will gr1ks have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 BUY No 99¢ $109 26h
Will cobraze have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 BUY No 99¢ $134 26h
Will cobraze have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 BUY No 99¢ $30 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 +7.2% -3.1% 95% 14% -9.3%
≤30d 40 +3.1% -6.7% 90% 15% -9.3%
≤90d 63 +3.0% -6.8% 92% 13% -7.7%
all 107 -2.1% -11.4% 85% 15% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.4% 15% -7.5%
10% -19.9% 10% -16.3%
15% -27.7% 7% -24.4%
20% -34.7% 4% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,582.39 · official $2,585.40 (match) · 788 history records