Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:07:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc217…231a
other · 12 markets active 133d ago
0.0score
−$5,599 -75%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,412 · open −$3,396
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$268
Realized−$1,412
Unrealized−$3,396
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 11
Open positions1
Markets (closed)11 / 12
History coverage195d
Avg bet$620
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit42%
Chart Positions 1 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Yes 8¢ 1¢ $3,664 $268 −$3,396 (-93%)
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $427 $0 −$427 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 31? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $188 $0 −$188 (-100%)
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during January press conference? No 0¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 31? Jan 30 $188 −$188 -100%
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? Jan 30 $588 −$587 -100%
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference? Jan 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? Jan 28 $847 −$468 -55%
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during January press conference? Jan 28 $18 −$18 -100%
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 mi Jan 25 $95 −$48 -51%
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January? Jan 25 $7 −$1 -8%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Jan 25 $100 −$15 -15%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jan Jan 14 $150 −$56 -37%
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? Jul 29 $24 −$24 -100%
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025? Jul 29 $15 −$3 -20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 97% −$4,570
crypto 3% −$188
economics 1% −$47
politics 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 31? BUY Yes 29¢ $188 132d
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? SELL Yes 4¢ $186 132d
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 132d
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference? BUY Yes 8¢ $0 134d
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference? BUY Yes 8¢ $0 134d
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 134d
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 134d
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? BUY Yes 35¢ $16 134d
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? BUY Yes 34¢ $73 134d
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? BUY Yes 33¢ $499 134d
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? BUY Yes 4¢ $9 134d
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 134d
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? BUY Yes 1¢ $8 134d
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? SELL Yes 4¢ $611 134d
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 134d
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? BUY Yes 1¢ $9 134d
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 134d
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? BUY Yes 1¢ $17 134d
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 134d
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? BUY Yes 1¢ $23 134d
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? BUY Yes 1¢ $31 134d
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 134d
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 134d
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during January press conference? BUY No 0¢ $18 134d
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 134d
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 134d
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? BUY Yes 1¢ $18 134d
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 135d
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 135d
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? BUY Yes 1¢ $47 135d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-69.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 11 -66.4% -69.6% 0% 0% -86.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -69.6% 0% -86.2%
10% -72.5% 0% -87.5%
15% -75.1% 0% -88.7%
20% -77.6% 0% -89.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $267.70 · official $267.70 (match) · 108 history records