Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:06:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc216…7071
crypto · 1761 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,793 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,793 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$132
Realized−$1,793
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1741 / 34
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1775 / 1761
History coverage20d
Avg bet$126
Trades / day87.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1775 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,692
7 days−$1,736
14 days−$1,863
30 days−$1,793
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $130 $131 +$1 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $130 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $45 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $120 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $85 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $130 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $130 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$323
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $130 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $130 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $130 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $130 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $130 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $130 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $120 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $130 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $130 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $130 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $130 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $130 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $130 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $130 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $85 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $130 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $130 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $130 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $130 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $130 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $130 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $130 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $130 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $130 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $130 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $130 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $130 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $130 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $130 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 525 -3.0% -12.3% 96% 0% -11.9%
≤30d 1775 -0.9% -10.3% 98% 0% -10.2%
≤90d 1775 -0.9% -10.3% 98% 0% -10.2%
all 1775 -0.9% -10.3% 98% 0% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover87.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 0% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 0% -18.8%
15% -26.8% 0% -26.7%
20% -33.9% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $132.17 · official $131.31 (match) · 3500 history records