Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:42:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc201…2d35
crypto · 951 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$605 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$605 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$605
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses488 / 572
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1060 / 951
History coverage23d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day105.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1060 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$612
7 days−$879
14 days−$1,157
30 days−$605
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$73
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $48 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $23 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $12 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $13 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $18 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $8 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 253 -52.0% -56.6% 24% 20% -40.8%
≤30d 1060 -8.7% -17.4% 46% 40% -13.5%
≤90d 1060 -8.7% -17.4% 46% 40% -13.5%
all 1060 -8.7% -17.4% 46% 40% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover105.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.4% 40% -13.5%
10% ← realistic here -25.3% 33% -21.8%
15% -32.5% 27% -29.4%
20% -39.2% 26% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records