Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:22:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc1f2…49ea
crypto · 1701 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$979 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$981 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$981
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses728 / 499
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1227 / 1701
History coverage10d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day265.8
Drawdown71%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1227 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,285
7 days−$1,470
14 days+$981
30 days+$981
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 48¢ 14¢ $2 $1 −$2 (-72%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 67¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+49%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 77¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$2 -601%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$8 -2119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3,415
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $0 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $0 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $0 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)+22.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 818 +18.4% +7.2% 51% 49% -41.5%
≤30d 1227 +35.3% +22.4% 59% 58% +2.3%
≤90d 1227 +35.3% +22.4% 59% 58% +2.3%
all 1227 +35.3% +22.4% 59% 58% +2.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover265.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +22.4% 58% +2.3%
10% ← realistic here +10.7% 56% -7.5%
15% +0.0% 56% -16.4%
20% -9.8% 56% -24.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.79 · official $1.12 (match) · 3500 history records