Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:28:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc1d7…47a4
sports · 751 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$23,944 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23,597 · open −$347
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,134
Realized−$23,597
Unrealized−$347
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses370 / 377
Whale WR (big bets)58%
Est. fees paid−$2,158
Open positions4
Markets (closed)747 / 751
History coverage54d
Avg bet$250
Trades / day24.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 4 History 747 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,113
7 days−$6,415
14 days−$8,405
30 days−$17,609
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Elena Rybakina 74¢ 77¢ $733 $763 +$30 (+4%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 58¢ 54¢ $246 $227 −$19 (-8%)
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Kaitlin Quevedo 55¢ 32¢ $252 $144 −$108 (-43%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Spirit 48¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jack Pinnington Jones 48¢ 0¢ $485 $0 −$485 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Jun 12 $455 −$455 -100%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $495 −$485 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $494 +$344 +70%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $499 +$619 +124%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $195 −$195 -100%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Jun 12 $251 −$251 -100%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $231 −$231 -100%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $256 +$360 +141%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $501 +$124 +25%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $548 +$292 +53%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $179 +$299 +167%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $770 +$80 +10%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $140 −$140 -100%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $99 +$112 +113%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $453 +$289 +64%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $249 −$249 -100%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $1,022 +$250 +24%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $381 +$139 +36%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 12 $762 −$762 -100%
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Mayar Sherif Jun 11 $506 −$506 -100%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 11 $102 −$102 -100%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 11 $300 −$300 -100%
Lyon: Daniel Rincon vs Dali Blanch Jun 11 $103 −$103 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET Jun 11 $31 −$31 -100%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Jun 11 $397 +$139 +35%
1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5) Jun 11 $244 −$242 -100%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 11 $213 +$105 +49%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $458 −$379 -83%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 11 $203 −$23 -11%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 11 $165 −$133 -81%
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? Jun 11 $101 +$64 +64%
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 11 $128 −$128 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4PM ET Jun 11 $110 −$110 -100%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Charles Broom Jun 11 $204 −$204 -100%
Cattolica: Alexander Vasilev vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 11 $314 −$314 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $76 +$35 +46%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 10 $400 +$75 +19%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 10 $159 +$157 +99%
Ilkley: Felix Gill vs Filippo Romano Jun 10 $204 −$204 -100%
Ilkley: Hamish Stewart vs Leandro Riedi Jun 10 $226 +$378 +167%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Paul Jubb Jun 10 $302 +$189 +63%
Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 10 $199 −$199 -100%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 10 $200 −$200 -100%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Michael Zheng Jun 10 $290 +$136 +47%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $82 +$110 +135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 10 $38 −$38 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $907 −$869 -96%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $247 −$93 -38%
Bahcesehir Koleji vs. Besiktas Jun 09 $557 −$557 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 81% −$13,577
crypto 15% −$8,541
other 4% −$1,827
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 58¢ $250 2m
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Kaitlin Quevedo 55¢ $256 48m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 74¢ $742 58m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 48¢ $255 1h
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones 48¢ $495 2h
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet BUY Tristan Schoolkate 28¢ $455 2h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe SELL Jiri Lehecka 99¢ $838 2h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley SELL Jacob Fearnley 99¢ $1,118 2h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 57¢ $494 3h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 43¢ $499 3h
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery SELL Robin Montgomery 99¢ $615 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 99¢ $625 4h
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel BUY Zsombor Piros 30¢ $251 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 78¢ $501 4h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 35¢ $195 4h
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 40¢ $256 4h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 99¢ $454 5h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 30¢ $231 5h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette SELL Magda Linette 99¢ $479 5h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 53¢ $249 6h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 36¢ $179 6h
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko SELL Vitaliy Sachko 51¢ $850 6h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard SELL Thijs Boogaard 29¢ $211 7h
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 46¢ $385 7h
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 43¢ $385 7h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Harriet Dart 59¢ $386 7h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 44¢ $299 7h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Dusan Lajovic 64¢ $140 7h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva SELL Alexander Shevchenko 99¢ $742 7h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 13¢ $99 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-24.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 99 -22.6% -29.9% 44% 43% -28.0%
≤30d 528 -15.4% -23.5% 50% 50% -20.4%
≤90d 747 -16.7% -24.6% 50% 49% -21.0%
all 747 -16.7% -24.6% 50% 49% -21.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.6% 49% -21.0%
10% ← realistic here -31.9% 45% -28.6%
15% -38.4% 37% -35.5%
20% -44.5% 27% -41.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,133.89 · official $1,112.91 · 1697 history records