Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:10:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc1c9…e5d7
crypto · 36 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$222 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$272 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$272
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses19 / 17
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)36 / 36
History coverage634d
Avg bet$46
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 0 History 36 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting? Yes 52¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $157 −$7 -4%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 14 $198 $0 -0%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $205 −$33 -16%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 14 $19 +$1 +3%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $39 +$16 +40%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $8 +$5 +60%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $97 +$3 +3%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $21 +$14 +67%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $21 −$11 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +4%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $181 +$19 +10%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $201 −$7 -4%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffs Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Feb 08 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Feb 08 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Feb 08 $12 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Feb 08 $27 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Feb 07 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Feb 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Feb 07 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Feb 07 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Feb 07 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Feb 07 $12 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - February 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Feb 07 $11 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Feb 07 $6 +$5 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Feb 07 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Feb 07 $70 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Feb 07 $10 +$1 +5%
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m Jan 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope? May 07 $43 −$43 -100%
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope? May 07 $20 −$20 -100%
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? May 07 $28 −$28 -100%
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting? Sep 18 $45 −$45 -100%
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting? Sep 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting? Sep 18 $21 −$21 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 59% −$20
crypto 19% −$85
tech 11% +$19
economics 6% −$104
other 5% −$83
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner SELL Vitality 91¢ $150 57m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 95¢ $95 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 95¢ $62 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta SELL Vitality 99¢ $198 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta BUY Vitality 99¢ $198 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Aurora Gaming 99¢ $158 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 97¢ $155 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 7¢ $14 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 20¢ $31 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 99¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 95¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 38¢ $6 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 38¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 38¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 38¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 38¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 38¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs SELL Metizport 99¢ $20 5h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Metizport 96¢ $19 5h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 43¢ $55 19h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 58¢ $18 19h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 21¢ $21 20h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL PARIVISION 41¢ $12 24h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 25¢ $8 24h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Monte 35¢ $35 27h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $100 27h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 21¢ $1 27h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 21¢ $1 27h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 21¢ $5 27h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 21¢ $5 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-32.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +10.0% -0.5% 64% 29% -9.5%
≤30d 14 +10.0% -0.5% 64% 29% -9.5%
≤90d 14 +10.0% -0.5% 64% 29% -9.5%
all 36 -25.4% -32.5% 53% 22% -24.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -32.5% 22% -24.4%
10% -38.9% 14% -31.6%
15% -44.8% 11% -38.2%
20% -50.2% 8% -44.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 93 history records