trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | -34.7% | -40.9% | 50% | 50% | -30.7% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -7.7% | -16.5% | 64% | 55% | -15.4% |
| all | 14 | -13.0% | -21.3% | 50% | 43% | -16.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.3% | 43% | -16.2% |
| 10% | -28.8% | 29% | -24.2% |
| 15% | -35.7% | 21% | -31.5% |
| 20% | -42.0% | 21% | -38.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics | Pittsburgh Pirates | 43¢ | 23¢ | $11 | $6 | −$5 (-47%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurricanes vs. Canadiens | May 26 | $36 | +$11 | +31% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 23 | $26 | −$26 | -99% |
| Spread: Spurs (-10.5) | May 13 | $15 | +$9 | +61% |
| Hurricanes vs. Flyers | May 08 | $15 | +$3 | +21% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-11.5) | Apr 28 | $6 | +$5 | +93% |
| Hurricanes vs. Senators | Apr 26 | $7 | +$7 | +90% |
| Penguins vs. Flyers | Apr 26 | $13 | −$13 | -99% |
| Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 | Apr 20 | $25 | −$24 | -99% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 19 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | Apr 17 | $84 | +$13 | +16% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me | Mar 19 | $97 | +$3 | +3% |
| Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Mar 10 | $12 | −$11 | -88% |
| Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Mar 06 | $108 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | Mar 02 | $5 | $0 | -9% |