Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:47:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc1b5…c8f8
sports · 498 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,202 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,144 · open −$56
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$501
Realized−$3,144
Unrealized−$56
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses198 / 575
Est. fees paid−$331
Open positions42
Markets (closed)773 / 498
History coverage4d
Avg bet$45
Trades / day718.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 42 History 773 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,204
7 days−$3,144
14 days−$3,144
30 days−$3,144
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 94¢ 94¢ $349 $348 −$1 (-0%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Seattle Mariners 58¢ 92¢ $8 $13 +$5 (+59%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Under 61¢ 82¢ $9 $12 +$3 (+35%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5 Under 24¢ 100¢ $2 $9 +$7 (+315%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Athletics 67¢ 66¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) Athletics 40¢ 42¢ $6 $7 +$0 (+6%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Atlanta Braves 47¢ 12¢ $25 $6 −$19 (-76%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Detroit Tigers 47¢ 14¢ $21 $6 −$15 (-71%)
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs F5 Esports 30¢ 43¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+43%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 78¢ 86¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+10%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5 Under 23¢ 43¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+87%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 158.5 Under 52¢ 52¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+0%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs 47¢ 46¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5) Washington Mystics 52¢ 51¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-3%)
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics Washington Mystics 59¢ 98¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+67%)
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Milwaukee Brewers 52¢ 96¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+85%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 Under 65¢ 87¢ $3 $3 +$1 (+34%)
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) Detroit Tigers 67¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+49%)
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) Baltimore Orioles 68¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+46%)
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5) New York Yankees 52¢ 72¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+38%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Houston Astros 83¢ 90¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+8%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets New York Mets 91¢ 88¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5 Under 55¢ 64¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+16%)
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5 Under 54¢ 64¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+19%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 80¢ 82¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grant Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 −$1 -20%
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 13 $8 −$3 -34%
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Circuit X Base Rec Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Circuit X Base Reci Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Houston Astros (-4.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Will Moldova win on 2026-06-05? Jun 13 $5 +$13 +245%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 160.5 Jun 13 $15 −$16 -109%
Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5) Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire: O/U 160.5 Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
Makarska: Lucie Havlickova vs Yasmine Kabbaj Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Birmingham: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Elvina Kalieva Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 13 $0 +$33 +8552%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Elias Ymer Jun 13 $19 −$16 -85%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advan Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Slovakia vs. Montenegro end in a draw? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -101%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Polina Kudermetova Jun 13 $12 +$2 +18%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $55 −$55 -100%
Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $3 +$22 +828%
PortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 160.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% +$537
other 4% +$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 91¢ $3 19m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 80¢ $2 21m
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5) BUY Toronto Blue Jays 48¢ $2 46m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 70¢ $2 46m
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5) BUY New York Yankees 52¢ $2 48m
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 158.5 BUY Over 50¢ $3 48m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 61¢ $2 48m
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) BUY Cleveland Guardians 73¢ $2 48m
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 158.5 BUY Under 52¢ $2 48m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 42¢ $2 49m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 67¢ $4 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 67¢ $4 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 47¢ $4 1h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 158.5 BUY Under 53¢ $2 1h
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) BUY Texas Rangers 73¢ $2 1h
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) BUY Texas Rangers 74¢ $2 1h
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) BUY Texas Rangers 73¢ $2 1h
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) BUY Texas Rangers 73¢ $2 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 71¢ $2 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 71¢ $2 1h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 83¢ $3 1h
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-4.5) BUY Baltimore Orioles 44¢ $2 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 59¢ $2 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 59¢ $2 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 65¢ $3 1h
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics BUY Washington Mystics 59¢ $2 1h
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 56¢ $2 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 56¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY F5 Esports 30¢ $4 1h
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) BUY Miami Marlins 82¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-26.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 773 -18.8% -26.5% 26% 23% -21.4%
≤30d 773 -18.8% -26.5% 26% 23% -21.4%
≤90d 773 -18.8% -26.5% 26% 23% -21.4%
all 773 -18.8% -26.5% 26% 23% -21.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover718.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.5% 23% -21.4%
10% ← realistic here -33.5% 20% -28.9%
15% -40.0% 17% -35.8%
20% -45.8% 14% -42.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $501.39 · official $500.72 (match) · 3500 history records