Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:22:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc1b4…624f
crypto · 284 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$2,826 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,826 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$2
Realized+$2,826
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses178 / 109
Open positions0
Markets (closed)287 / 284
Avg bet$127
Trades / day3215.0
Drawdown17%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 287 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,826
7 days+$2,826
14 days+$2,826
30 days+$2,826
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 43¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+133%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 89¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 72¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+39%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$12 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $112 +$16 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$11 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$59 +197%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $84 +$18 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $146 +$53 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $149 +$24 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $173 +$39 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$47 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $157 +$56 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $133 +$14 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $131 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $179 −$6 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $158 −$21 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$14 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $68 +$35 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $338 −$18 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $436 −$129 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $124 −$18 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $238 +$69 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$32 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $315 +$35 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $43 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $119 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$5 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $91 +$35 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$13 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $363 +$18 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $226 −$89 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $175 +$78 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $140 −$58 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$9 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $77 +$23 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $86 +$63 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $116 +$8 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $120 +$17 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$37 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $60 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $82 −$7 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $430 +$61 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $135 +$29 +21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2,826
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $16 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $6 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $0 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $0 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $0 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $6 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $13 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $37 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $20 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $26 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $6 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $9 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $30 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $8 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $15 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $15 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $42 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $40 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $30 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $8 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $8 33m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)+2.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 287 +13.5% +2.7% 62% 52% -3.2%
≤30d 287 +13.5% +2.7% 62% 52% -3.2%
≤90d 287 +13.5% +2.7% 62% 52% -3.2%
all 287 +13.5% +2.7% 62% 52% -3.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3215.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.7% 52% -3.2%
10% ← realistic here -7.1% 36% -12.4%
15% -16.1% 22% -20.9%
20% -24.3% 11% -28.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.70 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records