Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:41:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc1a7…34d6
sports · 289 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,549 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,393 · open −$151
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$891
Realized−$1,393
Unrealized−$151
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses112 / 127
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions42
Markets (closed)239 / 289
History coverage369d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day1.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 42 History 239 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$34
7 days+$18
14 days−$2
30 days−$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 91¢ 92¢ $100 $101 +$1 (+1%)
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 88¢ 88¢ $100 $101 +$1 (+1%)
Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 88¢ 87¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 90¢ 88¢ $100 $98 −$2 (-2%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 11¢ $40 $47 +$7 (+17%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Yes 76¢ 76¢ $40 $40 +$0 (+0%)
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 72¢ 72¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 60¢ 60¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? Yes 63¢ 64¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Yes 70¢ 70¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? Yes 74¢ 74¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 Over 75¢ 74¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 6¢ 5¢ $20 $18 −$2 (-10%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $20 $18 −$2 (-12%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+10%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+8%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $5 $11 +$6 (+116%)
Switzerland to score first vs. Qatar? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 72¢ 72¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 71¢ 70¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 70¢ 69¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 68¢ 68¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $30 +$32 +107%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $10 +$3 +34%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $30 −$30 -99%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $20 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Mexico to score first vs. South Africa? Jun 11 $20 +$8 +38%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Jun 11 $5 +$1 +24%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $101 +$32 +31%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova Jun 11 $20 +$2 +8%
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca Jun 11 $454 −$9 -2%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Aoi Ito Jun 09 $11 +$2 +21%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $474 +$20 +4%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $513 −$28 -6%
Centurion 2: Philip Henning vs Alexander Donski Jun 07 $10 −$10 -98%
Makarska: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Noma Noha Akugue Jun 05 $20 +$5 +23%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 05 $20 +$3 +13%
Birmingham: Taylah Preston vs Alicia Dudeney Jun 05 $20 +$4 +21%
Birmingham: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Katie Swan Jun 05 $20 +$6 +29%
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $20 −$20 -100%
Perugia: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Timofey Skatov Jun 03 $10 −$10 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 03 $10 −$1 -6%
Tyler: Timo Legout vs Andres Andrade Jun 03 $10 +$11 +105%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02? Jun 03 $20 +$10 +48%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 03 $40 +$19 +48%
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Jun 03 $414 −$54 -13%
Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Maks Kasnikowski Jun 02 $10 −$10 -99%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 02 $30 −$5 -16%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Jun 02 $101 +$22 +22%
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? May 24 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $20 −$20 -99%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? May 24 $51 −$3 -5%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 21 $447 −$18 -4%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 21 $260 +$5 +2%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026? May 16 $10 +$24 +235%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? May 07 $37 −$37 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Pierluig May 04 $10 −$10 -99%
Huzhou: Veronika Erjavec vs Katarzyna Kawa May 03 $10 +$3 +32%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 m Apr 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m Apr 28 $44 −$44 -100%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 me Apr 28 $26 −$26 -100%
US forces enter Iran by December 31? Apr 04 $20 +$1 +4%
Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation? Apr 01 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Trump say "Peace Through Strength" during Address to the Nation? Apr 01 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation? Apr 01 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation? Apr 01 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-22? Mar 22 $97 +$3 +3%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs Mar 22 $15 +$3 +19%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22? Mar 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on M Mar 22 $50 −$11 -22%
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? Mar 17 $138 −$19 -14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 35% −$687
politics 25% −$260
sports 19% −$118
economics 10% −$238
world 4% −$34
tech 3% −$25
crypto 2% −$199
finance 2% +$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Scotland to score first vs. Haiti? BUY Yes 68¢ $10 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 20¢ $10 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $10 1h
Switzerland to score first vs. Qatar? BUY Yes 81¢ $10 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 61¢ $10 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 BUY Over 75¢ $20 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 20¢ $10 1h
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 80¢ $10 1h
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 71¢ $10 1h
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 66¢ $10 1h
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 72¢ $10 1h
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 70¢ $10 1h
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 64¢ $10 1h
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 72¢ $10 1h
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 68¢ $10 1h
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 62¢ $10 1h
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-2 BUY 9¢ $10 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegov BUY 26¢ $10 11h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on BUY 13¢ $10 12h
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Laura Samson 74¢ $10 12h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States BUY 21¢ $10 13h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States BUY 11¢ $10 17h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 17h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $5 22h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse BUY Barbora Krejcikova 81¢ $20 22h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 77¢ $20 24h
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 74¢ $20 24h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $20 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-23.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -1.2% -10.6% 64% 50% -8.6%
≤30d 34 -2.9% -12.2% 56% 47% -10.1%
≤90d 56 -25.0% -32.2% 41% 32% -16.5%
all 239 -15.2% -23.3% 47% 40% -19.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.3% 40% -19.3%
10% -30.7% 30% -27.0%
15% -37.4% 19% -34.1%
20% -43.5% 11% -40.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $891.07 · official $931.17 · 713 history records