Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:02:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc194…8115
crypto · 1280 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$9 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized+$7
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses1227 / 49
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1276 / 1280
History coverage23d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day95.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 1276 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$12
14 days−$30
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Yes 41¢ 28¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-31%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? No 83¢ 90¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 13? No 2¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-17%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-7%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 13? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-73%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? Jun 12 $24 −$2 -10%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 14? Jun 12 $9 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 14? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $25 +$1 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? Jun 12 $9 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? Jun 11 $33 +$2 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 11 $21 −$1 -3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? Jun 11 $32 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? Jun 11 $59 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 11? Jun 11 $56 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 10 $158 −$14 -9%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? Jun 10 $28 +$1 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $40 $0 -1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 10? Jun 09 $27 +$1 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? Jun 09 $18 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $22 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? Jun 09 $21 +$1 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? Jun 09 $9 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $26 +$1 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 9? Jun 08 $18 +$1 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 9? Jun 08 $5 +$1 +13%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 8? Jun 08 $37 +$1 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $10 $0 +4%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 8? Jun 07 $59 +$2 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8? Jun 07 $18 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 8? Jun 07 $9 $0 -1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? Jun 07 $15 −$2 -13%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 8? Jun 07 $9 $0 +4%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 7? Jun 07 $21 +$1 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $7 $0 +5%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 7? Jun 06 $30 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 5? Jun 06 $75 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 6? Jun 06 $386 −$3 -1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5? Jun 06 $153 +$3 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 6? Jun 06 $200 −$9 -4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $36 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $58 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $16 +$1 +7%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 6? Jun 05 $29 −$3 -11%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6? Jun 05 $10 $0 -2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 6? Jun 05 $24 −$1 -5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $9 −$2 -24%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 5? Jun 04 $2 $0 -9%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 6? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -57%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 4? Jun 03 $14 +$2 +12%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4? Jun 03 $28 −$2 -6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4? Jun 03 $11 −$2 -14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? SELL Yes 11¢ $1 23m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? SELL Yes 41¢ $4 23m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 40¢ $4 26m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 26m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? SELL Yes 38¢ $5 45m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 14? SELL Yes 94¢ $9 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 14? SELL Yes 22¢ $2 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? SELL Yes 13¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 14? BUY Yes 23¢ $2 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 14? BUY Yes 93¢ $9 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 41¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 44¢ $2 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 13? BUY No 2¢ $0 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? SELL No 55¢ $3 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 55¢ $3 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? SELL No 50¢ $2 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? SELL No 51¢ $2 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? SELL No 82¢ $8 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 53¢ $5 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 83¢ $8 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? SELL No 81¢ $1 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? SELL No 81¢ $7 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? SELL Yes 91¢ $9 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 81¢ $8 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? SELL Yes 48¢ $5 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? SELL Yes 19¢ $1 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 14? SELL Yes 27¢ $3 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? SELL Yes 19¢ $1 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? BUY Yes 18¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 +1.0% -8.7% 77% 2% -10.1%
≤30d 1276 +0.2% -9.3% 96% 2% -9.5%
≤90d 1276 +0.2% -9.3% 96% 2% -9.5%
all 1276 +0.2% -9.3% 96% 2% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover95.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 2% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 0% -18.1%
15% -25.9% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.76 · official $2.98 (match) · 3500 history records