Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:33:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc192…85f2
crypto · 647 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$13 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$2
Realized−$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses387 / 259
Open positions1
Markets (closed)646 / 647
Avg bet$2
Trades / day17.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 646 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days−$2
14 days+$12
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 59¢ 78¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+33%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$12
other 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 120 -0.5% -9.9% 72% 70% -10.4%
≤30d 614 -1.3% -10.7% 61% 59% -10.4%
≤90d 646 -1.6% -11.0% 60% 58% -10.6%
all 646 -1.6% -11.0% 60% 58% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.0% 58% -10.6%
10% -19.5% 56% -19.1%
15% -27.3% 46% -26.9%
20% -34.4% 34% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.97 · official $1.74 (match) · 1387 history records