trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -47.0% | -52.1% | 0% | 0% | -43.4% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -42.0% | -47.5% | 0% | 0% | -43.3% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -42.0% | -47.5% | 0% | 0% | -43.3% |
| all | 7 | -42.0% | -47.5% | 0% | 0% | -43.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -47.5% | 0% | -43.3% |
| 10% | -52.5% | 0% | -48.7% |
| 15% | -57.1% | 0% | -53.6% |
| 20% | -61.3% | 0% | -58.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $20 | −$5 | -26% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $17 | −$9 | -52% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $102 | −$3 | -3% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $30 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $64 | −$63 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Ebola case in the US by June 30? | May 19 | $1 | $0 | -12% |