Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:37:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc18f…c56e
crypto · 206 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$577 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$577 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$577
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses95 / 111
Open positions0
Markets (closed)206 / 206
History coverage92d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day5.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 0 History 206 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$27
7 days+$27
14 days+$27
30 days+$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$9 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Apr 25 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Apr 24 $8 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Apr 24 $5 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Apr 24 $5 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Apr 24 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Apr 24 $22 −$6 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Apr 24 $22 −$6 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Apr 24 $5 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Apr 24 $27 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Apr 24 $5 +$5 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Apr 24 $16 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Apr 24 $5 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Apr 24 $5 $0 -8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% −$122
other 8% −$252
economics 2% −$96
politics 1% −$50
culture 0% −$35
world 0% +$3
sports 0% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $6 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-22.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 +5.5% -4.5% 92% 57% -1.0%
≤30d 37 +5.5% -4.5% 92% 57% -1.0%
≤90d 202 -16.2% -24.2% 45% 34% -21.8%
all 206 -14.1% -22.3% 46% 34% -16.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.3% 34% -16.9%
10% -29.7% 17% -24.9%
15% -36.5% 16% -32.1%
20% -42.7% 12% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 670 history records